Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$359

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

90 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$323

$4.84K lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

$316

9 positions

First seen

2026-10-16

last 11-08 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

61% 89% +$428

Other

35% 43% -$78

Sports

5% 25% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,458	$178	3¢	$73	-$105	10-26 22:54
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	Yes	+3,092	$120	2¢	$57	-$63	10-28 07:22
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	+1,000	$80	5¢	$54	-$26	10-25 21:57
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+500	$50	8¢	$38	-$12	10-25 22:54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+767	$115	4¢	$35	-$80	10-25 21:50
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	+300	$30	8¢	$24	-$6	11-07 11:43
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	Yes	+170	$40	8¢	$14	-$26	11-01 07:35
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+332	$24	4¢	$13	-$10	11-01 07:36
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+109	$39	9¢	$10	-$29	10-25 21:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	16	$1.0K	1,416	1,416	+0	open	—	11-04 07:26
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	5	$529	432	432	+0	Yes	+$335	11-04 06:42
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$439	896	477	+419	No	-$95	10-26 19:35
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	3	$266	146	146	+0	No	+$26	11-04 06:42
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?	2	$251	497	497	+0	open	—	11-08 19:51
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$196	121	121	+0	Yes	+$44	11-04 06:45
Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	6	$187	1,459	652	+806	No	+$7	10-27 21:44
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	3	$178	2,458	0	+2,458	open	—	10-26 22:54
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$174	1,030	1,030	+0	open	—	10-27 21:24
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$142	97	97	+0	Alexander Volkanovski	+$49	10-24 21:14
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	2	$125	75	75	+0	Yes	+$25	11-04 06:43
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	2	$123	65	65	+0	No	+$3	11-01 07:34
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	2	$120	3,092	0	+3,092	open	—	10-28 07:22
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	1	$115	767	0	+767	open	—	10-25 21:50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$108	80	80	+0	Yes	+$8	10-25 22:22
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	2	$103	65	65	+0	open	—	11-06 18:25
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	1	$80	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	10-25 21:57
Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	2	$76	71	71	+0	Yes	+$66	10-27 22:00
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	1	$75	79	0	+79	No	+$4	10-25 21:51
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	1	$60	64	0	+64	No	+$4	10-25 21:51
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	1	$50	500	0	+500	open	—	10-25 22:54
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	1	$50	53	0	+53	No	+$3	10-25 21:54
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$41	492	0	+492	No	-$41	10-26 20:20
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	2	$40	170	0	+170	open	—	11-01 07:35
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	1	$39	109	0	+109	open	—	10-25 21:56
UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	2	$33	39	39	+0	Aaron Pico	$0	10-24 17:49
Will Marco Rubio be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	1	$30	524	0	+524	open	—	11-04 08:15
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	1	$30	300	0	+300	open	—	11-07 11:43
UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	1	$30	46	0	+46	Dominick Reyes	-$30	10-24 17:34
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T?	2	$24	153	153	+0	open	—	11-08 19:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 19:52:21	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T?	Yes	SELL	153	12¢	$19	0xe5f4e0…
11-08 19:51:51	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?	Yes	SELL	497	44¢	$221	0x7ccfe3…
11-07 11:43:31	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xace08c…
11-06 18:25:43	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	SELL	65	82¢	$53	0xad75da…
11-04 08:15:34	Will Marco Rubio be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	524	6¢	$30	0xa76492…
11-04 07:26:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0xf5dc0d…
11-04 06:45:40	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	100¢	$120	0xeab929…
11-04 06:43:36	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x9771ae…
11-04 06:42:51	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x0ee865…
11-04 06:42:04	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	432	100¢	$432	0xb64af3…
11-03 13:28:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x5fdb11…
11-02 17:43:48	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T?	Yes	BUY	153	3¢	$5	0x1799e3…
11-01 08:29:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	171	37¢	$63	0xcddd8e…
11-01 07:36:54	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	194	7¢	$14	0x9d1b36…
11-01 07:35:51	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	Yes	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0xead558…
11-01 07:34:37	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	No	SELL	65	96¢	$63	0x3a2c5c…
11-01 07:15:18	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?	Yes	BUY	497	6¢	$30	0x6b8f65…
10-31 18:36:09	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	159	4¢	$7	0xe97511…
10-30 10:47:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	171	41¢	$70	0x28d216…
10-30 10:46:55	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	26¢	$28	0x88db00…
10-29 16:23:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	222	44¢	$98	0x9ff9b9…
10-28 10:18:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x52e437…
10-28 08:09:23	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x864d83…
10-28 07:22:56	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	510	4¢	$20	0x4cc988…
10-27 22:19:47	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	22¢	$13	0xe2bac9…
10-27 22:00:38	Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xcec013…
10-27 21:44:03	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0xc4ac59…
10-27 21:24:47	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	125	8¢	$10	0x3e0054…
10-27 21:23:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	132	36¢	$47	0x8af603…
10-27 21:13:38	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	263	4¢	$10	0x2fc3a8…
10-27 21:11:08	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0x6acc9b…
10-27 20:52:35	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	302	17¢	$50	0xd75577…
10-27 20:46:59	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	652	15¢	$97	0x153f64…
10-27 20:06:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	132	31¢	$41	0x41f276…
10-27 20:05:47	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x308df7…
10-27 20:01:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	78	65¢	$51	0xa65021…
10-27 19:58:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	78	77¢	$60	0xf17db4…
10-27 19:58:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	273	22¢	$60	0x69cae5…
10-27 19:44:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	273	25¢	$68	0xacfaea…
10-27 19:43:39	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	79	3¢	$2	0xb76906…
10-27 19:43:27	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x6d3f7b…
10-27 19:37:39	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	905	8¢	$72	0x578c09…
10-27 19:36:42	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	905	9¢	$81	0x94bbef…
10-27 19:34:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	110	74¢	$81	0xde22dd…
10-27 19:31:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	110	75¢	$83	0x575432…
10-27 19:30:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	330	25¢	$83	0xe7a804…
10-27 18:40:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	330	24¢	$79	0xa6ba5d…
10-27 17:09:30	Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x0acdac…
10-27 17:09:18	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	652	2¢	$15	0x7f0136…
10-26 22:54:14	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	8¢	$15	0xd470ae…
10-26 20:58:02	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xdfe1c7…
10-26 20:20:20	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	159	7¢	$11	0x0b81b4…
10-26 19:35:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	121	16¢	$20	0x389b54…
10-26 15:27:48	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7,250	0¢	$7	0x63049d…
10-26 15:27:27	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0x806ba7…
10-26 10:28:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	298	21¢	$63	0x4cf604…
10-26 10:26:56	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x749b77…
10-26 10:24:23	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	349	20¢	$71	0x477115…
10-26 10:16:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	349	22¢	$78	0x72a34f…
10-26 10:11:53	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	188	11¢	$20	0x822456…
10-26 10:10:05	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	128	79¢	$101	0x707780…
10-25 22:58:21	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0xee6453…
10-25 22:56:14	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x9a61fc…
10-25 22:54:33	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xb45de0…
10-25 22:53:44	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	128	84¢	$107	0x70c7ef…
10-25 22:22:51	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	80	72¢	$58	0x1ed13f…
10-25 22:11:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0x914f25…
10-25 22:05:20	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	110	82¢	$90	0xd06b3e…
10-25 22:04:15	Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	7¢	$10	0xd0e579…
10-25 22:03:17	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	857	8¢	$67	0x16545c…
10-25 21:57:08	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0xe578e1…
10-25 21:56:00	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	35¢	$39	0x66515f…
10-25 21:54:50	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,582	4¢	$100	0x82a1e9…
10-25 21:54:24	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x97dd08…
10-25 21:53:47	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xf35cce…
10-25 21:52:15	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	No	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0xf8235b…
10-25 21:51:44	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x4396b9…
10-25 21:51:12	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	79	95¢	$75	0xbecf13…
10-25 21:50:08	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	767	15¢	$115	0x4fff2f…
10-25 11:17:53	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x117b63…
10-25 11:12:20	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	219	21¢	$46	0xf9647e…
10-24 21:58:57	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	63¢	$76	0x72f556…
10-24 21:53:06	Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x099415…
10-24 21:14:14	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	SELL	97	99¢	$96	0x441fb3…
10-24 20:59:47	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	97	48¢	$46	0x354c37…
10-24 17:50:41	Will Losene Keita win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	49	31¢	$15	0x18992c…
10-24 17:49:08	UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Losene Keita	SELL	39	42¢	$16	0x5dd4d2…
10-24 17:48:42	UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Losene Keita	BUY	39	43¢	$17	0x310df4…
10-24 17:34:36	UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Azamat Murzakanov	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x803ed4…
10-16 20:32:57	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,412	7¢	$96	0x2a1872…