Thin-Calculation 0xba0d05…191fd0
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Realized P&L
-$83
Unrealized P&L
-$396
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved
130
Trades
505
lifetime
Volume
$6.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$848
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 10-27 00:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Politics
60% 30% +$312
Other
38% 22% -$359
Sports
2% 20% -$36
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,904 -$371 15¢ $-758 -$386 06-25 01:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -200 -$19 20¢ $-39 -$20 05-28 11:02
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +980 $13 2¢ $24 +$11 10-13 20:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +110 $10 10¢ $10 +$1 10-24 19:38
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $4 32¢ $6 +$3 10-04 11:43
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +200 $1 3¢ $5 +$4 10-26 01:40
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 10-26 00:59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $12 2¢ $2 -$10 07-23 18:24
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 10-26 00:59