Realized P&L
-$12
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
77.1%
Resolved
5
Trades
96
lifetime
Volume
$392
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$41
10 positions
First seen
2026-10-23
last 10-26 18:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
72% 100% +$0
Other
26% 67% -$12
Crypto
2% 0% $0
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +14 $13 92¢ $13 $0 10-26 14:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $0 10-23 20:19
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $7 15¢ $5 -$2 10-23 20:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $0 10-26 14:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 10-26 15:38
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +39 $4 8¢ $3 $0 10-25 22:54
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +3 $3 92¢ $3 $0 10-26 03:33
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 $0 10-23 20:16
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $0 10-27 04:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1 $0 92¢ $1 +$0 10-26 18:57