Realized P&L
+$252
Unrealized P&L
+$442
Hit rate
86.0%
Resolved
12
Trades
33
lifetime
Volume
$9.79K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$297
Open exposure
$363
1 position
First seen
2026-03-09
last 07-17 17:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
77%
0%
-$70
Politics
23%
40%
+$332
Tech
0%
0%
-$10
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | +4,270 | -$79 | 8¢ | $363 | +$442 | 07-17 17:52 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | 12 | $6.3K | 10,751 | 6,481 | +4,270 | open | — | 07-17 17:52 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | 2 | $1.1K | 2,021 | 2,021 | +0 | open | — | 07-16 03:14 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31 | 2 | $1.1K | 685 | 685 | +0 | No | +$104 | 03-24 03:38 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 2 | $910 | 613 | 613 | +0 | Yes | +$310 | 04-08 00:52 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 2 | $158 | 4,430 | 4,430 | +0 | Yes | -$42 | 03-09 16:51 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15 | 2 | $80 | 2,319 | 2,319 | +0 | No | -$28 | 04-13 13:15 |
| will trump say jesus this week march 8 | 2 | $30 | 20,000 | 0 | +20,000 | Yes | -$30 | 03-10 15:03 |
| gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733 | 1 | $10 | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | Yes | -$10 | 03-09 14:40 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? | 1 | $10 | 1,230 | 0 | +1,230 | No | -$10 | 03-24 06:03 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 1 | $10 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | No | -$10 | 03-24 10:47 |
| us strikes iraq by march 7 | 1 | $10 | 7,500 | 0 | +7,500 | Yes | -$10 | 03-09 13:53 |
| will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15 | 1 | $10 | 527 | 0 | +527 | No | -$10 | 03-18 02:11 |
| karoline leavitt out by march 31 | 1 | $10 | 243 | 0 | +243 | No | -$10 | 03-18 02:38 |
| will starmer say andrew during the next prime ministers questions event | 3 | $1 | 14 | 0 | +14 | No | -$1 | 03-18 11:31 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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