Realized P&L
+$57
Unrealized P&L
-$97
Hit rate
65.1%
Resolved
52
Trades
772
lifetime
Volume
$4.60K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$199
13 positions
First seen
2026-08-27
last 10-26 22:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Politics
66% 100% +$2
Sports
24% 56% +$57
Other
10% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +243 $109 38¢ $92 -$17 10-26 18:08
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +337 $115 18¢ $61 -$54 10-26 15:40
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +146 $13 9¢ $14 +$0 10-24 00:31
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +547 $17 2¢ $12 -$5 10-22 09:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +33 $10 24¢ $8 -$2 10-23 13:27
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +376 $11 2¢ $6 -$5 10-07 19:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $14 16¢ $2 -$12 10-23 15:09
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +9 $2 20¢ $2 -$1 10-25 19:07
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +123 $2 1¢ $2 +$0 10-21 03:29
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +15 $2 8¢ $1 $0 10-26 22:05
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2 -$4 15¢ $0 +$4 10-22 22:05
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3 -$1 10¢ $0 +$1 10-15 02:35
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +2 $7 4¢ $0 -$6 09-26 01:03