(anonymous) 0x885f39…e808a9 Create alert
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$552
Unrealized P&L
+$186
Hit rate
7.2%
Resolved
25
Trades
1,512
lifetime
Volume
$89.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$76.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-02 17:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
47% 0% -$18
Other
44% 0% -$4
Sports
9% 70% +$574
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +15,873 $15,348 98¢ $15.5K +$200 11-02 14:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +10,493 $10,266 98¢ $10.3K -$3 11-02 18:12
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7,422 $7,235 96¢ $7.2K -$77 10-08 08:03
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +6,318 $6,081 97¢ $6.2K +$70 11-01 11:26
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +5,074 $4,929 98¢ $5.0K +$31 11-02 00:19
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +4,871 $4,478 94¢ $4.6K +$77 10-20 02:35
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,949 $4,216 88¢ $4.4K +$164 11-02 08:31
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,700 $3,611 97¢ $3.6K -$13 10-16 19:55
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +2,377 $2,184 92¢ $2.2K -$9 10-09 01:59
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1,828 $1,715 98¢ $1.8K +$73 09-20 04:42
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,697 $1,585 94¢ $1.6K +$2 11-01 02:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,909 $1,595 82¢ $1.6K -$20 09-20 03:02
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,614 $1,570 96¢ $1.5K -$23 10-06 06:48
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,853 $1,596 77¢ $1.4K -$164 10-19 00:56
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,372 $1,322 97¢ $1.3K +$8 10-17 11:16
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,376 $1,246 92¢ $1.3K +$27 10-29 21:29
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,305 $1,225 95¢ $1.2K +$14 09-20 07:48
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,053 $1,009 100¢ $1.1K +$41 09-20 04:18
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +915 $865 92¢ $847 -$18 10-16 16:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +668 $572 90¢ $605 +$33 09-21 07:24
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +584 $547 99¢ $577 +$29 10-19 05:01
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +642 $578 88¢ $567 -$10 10-18 20:02
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4,763 $753 12¢ $548 -$205 11-02 02:24
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,853 $265 23¢ $421 +$156 10-19 15:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,909 $312 18¢ $334 +$22 09-20 15:47
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +16,282 $552 2¢ $334 -$219 11-02 15:23
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +4,871 $394 6¢ $317 -$77 10-17 04:41
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7,422 $188 4¢ $263 +$76 10-09 07:37
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +262 $248 95¢ $249 +$0 09-21 03:09
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +254 $248 98¢ $249 +$0 10-21 15:54