(anonymous) 0xc260b6…f5d7cc
4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$434
Unrealized P&L
+$639
Hit rate
29.9%
Resolved
29
Trades
1,083
lifetime
Volume
$66.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$59.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 22:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
47% 0% -$1
Other
29% — —
Sports
22% 54% -$433
Crypto
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +13,389 $12,926 97¢ $13.0K +$95 10-31 21:04
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,743 $5,537 98¢ $5.6K +$74 10-31 21:36
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +5,729 $5,539 97¢ $5.6K +$44 09-20 00:32
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +5,048 $4,876 96¢ $4.9K -$6 10-31 01:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +4,548 $4,225 100¢ $4.5K +$316 09-21 18:21
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +4,373 $4,111 94¢ $4.1K +$6 10-31 11:59
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,621 $3,256 88¢ $3.2K -$60 10-30 02:21
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,807 $2,628 92¢ $2.6K -$32 10-31 12:17
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2,285 $2,234 96¢ $2.2K -$36 09-04 12:30
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1,722 $1,649 97¢ $1.7K +$24 09-21 07:47
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,461 $1,391 98¢ $1.4K +$47 08-28 22:26
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,508 $1,369 92¢ $1.4K +$11 10-31 02:01
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1,488 $1,315 90¢ $1.3K +$32 09-26 21:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,047 $975 99¢ $1.0K +$66 09-10 06:51
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +965 $849 96¢ $921 +$72 09-03 11:29
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +913 $814 89¢ $810 -$3 09-15 14:51
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +696 $541 87¢ $606 +$65 10-21 21:07
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +563 $515 94¢ $527 +$12 10-21 21:04
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +489 $466 96¢ $469 +$3 09-20 15:40
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +475 $460 97¢ $461 +$1 09-06 17:53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,623 $375 12¢ $426 +$51 10-29 19:36
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +464 $405 87¢ $406 +$1 09-04 23:08
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +13,236 $477 3¢ $364 -$113 10-31 23:02
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,783 $288 6¢ $280 -$8 10-31 23:17
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +282 $275 99¢ $279 +$4 09-16 12:26
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +279 $263 98¢ $273 +$10 08-29 06:33
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,266 $133 8¢ $170 +$37 10-27 11:37
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,711 $165 4¢ $167 +$2 10-29 17:51
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +5,729 $191 3¢ $146 -$45 09-20 06:05
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,488 $171 10¢ $141 -$30 09-11 15:26