Realized P&L
+$22.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$8.55K
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
337
Trades
5,434
lifetime
Volume
$1.20M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$221
Open exposure
$11.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 10-25 18:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Other
49% 60% +$4,131
Politics
23% 60% +$11,646
Crypto
14% 33% -$2,184
Sports
13% 60% +$10,600
Tech
0% 50% -$1,278
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +3,600 $3,270 98¢ $3.5K +$264 05-11 18:37
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +18,000 $9,501 8¢ $1.5K -$7,971 05-31 12:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,800 $1,188 82¢ $1.5K +$297 04-29 08:25
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +4,018 $813 22¢ $864 +$51 10-21 20:54
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +4,520 $1,218 11¢ $497 -$721 07-02 16:33
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +401 $315 84¢ $336 +$21 10-23 08:02
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +436 $293 76¢ $329 +$36 10-16 19:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,800 $594 18¢ $315 -$279 04-29 04:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +398 $269 72¢ $285 +$15 10-16 11:37
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +360 $288 78¢ $283 -$5 10-21 01:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +400 $246 68¢ $272 +$26 10-16 11:37
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +282 $248 96¢ $271 +$23 09-03 13:57
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +225 $193 87¢ $196 +$3 10-05 00:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +200 $126 92¢ $185 +$59 09-15 06:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +200 $135 92¢ $185 +$50 09-10 18:48
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +191 $143 97¢ $185 +$41 10-14 12:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +510 $138 21¢ $107 -$31 10-23 14:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +100 $93 100¢ $100 +$7 09-04 18:11
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +150 $95 64¢ $95 +$0 10-22 12:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +120 $72 76¢ $91 +$18 10-02 12:30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +100 $77 81¢ $81 +$4 08-23 07:06
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,933 $519 4¢ $78 -$441 07-29 07:48
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? Yes +133 $86 58¢ $78 -$8 10-01 10:42
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? No +90 $71 84¢ $75 +$4 09-10 04:35
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +71 $66 97¢ $69 +$3 07-22 12:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +270 $83 24¢ $66 -$17 10-22 18:53
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +90 $59 64¢ $58 -$1 10-22 15:11
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +50 $46 98¢ $49 +$2 08-17 19:01
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +47 $40 100¢ $47 +$7 05-18 21:31
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No +60 $46 71¢ $43 -$4 10-25 18:12