Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$80

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$720

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$60

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 10-26 23:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

61% 33% -$150

Politics

30% 56% +$56

Sports

6% 100% +$11

Tech

3% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	-32	-$29	92¢	$-29	$0	10-26 23:38
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+23	$11	66¢	$15	+$5	05-09 05:41
Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	-63	-$16	11¢	$-7	+$9	06-28 16:33
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+10	$5	62¢	$6	+$1	10-25 23:33
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	+40	$11	6¢	$3	-$9	09-19 00:24
israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31	Yes	+10	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	10-01 21:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	4	$102	90	90	+0	No	+$45	09-26 16:56
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	3	$94	70	70	+0	Yes	+$45	10-25 22:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$52	32	32	+0	Yes	+$12	04-12 18:47
Uber # of trips above 3.4B in Q1?	7	$50	263	253	+10	Yes	-$33	04-21 00:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?	1	$49	0	163	-163	Yes	-$114	06-24 10:59
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	9	$45	1,032	32	+1,000	Yes	+$11	07-08 13:55
Uber # of trips above 3.2B in Q1?	8	$37	783	0	+783	Yes	-$37	04-17 21:50
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	3	$30	280	280	+0	No	-$9	09-20 16:22
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$29	0	32	-32	open	—	10-26 23:38
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$28	20	20	+0	Yes	+$6	10-25 23:17
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$26	16	16	+0	Yes	+$6	04-12 19:02
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$24	65	40	+25	No	-$1	03-29 14:30
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$19	95	79	+16	No	-$2	03-23 11:25
Natural Disaster in 2026?	3	$16	0	63	-63	open	—	06-28 16:33
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	1	$15	100	0	+100	Yes	-$15	09-18 12:42
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$15	17	0	+17	Yes	+$2	03-15 00:10
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	2	$12	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	03-19 20:33
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	3	$11	40	0	+40	open	—	09-19 00:24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$11	23	0	+23	open	—	05-09 05:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$10	7	7	+0	No	+$0	04-14 21:28
will claude 5 be released by march 15 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-12 23:36
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$9	14	14	+0	No	-$1	03-15 10:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	10-25 23:33
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	+$4	04-14 16:43
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$5	85	85	+0	No	-$1	10-25 23:45
israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	10-01 21:27
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	04-12 17:58
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 851	2	$2	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$0	03-12 23:37
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$2	20	20	+0	No	$0	03-13 15:57
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	1	$2	0	59	-59	No	+$2	05-14 12:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:38:50	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	28	91¢	$25	0x12be02…
10-26 07:55:15	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0xb39963…
10-25 23:45:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	85	2¢	$2	0x284f91…
10-25 23:41:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	85	3¢	$3	0xce4aa4…
10-25 23:33:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x607fa6…
10-25 23:17:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x30b39d…
10-25 22:42:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xb30488…
10-25 22:15:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x04df8c…
10-25 22:06:45	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0xf43d45…
10-25 10:49:14	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xb04d17…
10-24 15:25:11	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0xfda0bd…
10-01 21:27:35	israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xa0ed62…
09-26 16:56:06	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	SELL	60	82¢	$49	0x2d742a…
09-26 15:20:53	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x536cd0…
09-20 16:22:40	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	Yes	SELL	140	2¢	$3	0xc593eb…
09-19 11:51:20	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	Yes	SELL	140	5¢	$7	0xe4741a…
09-19 00:24:25	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x241b55…
09-18 23:18:07	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	Yes	BUY	280	7¢	$20	0xb75f95…
09-18 23:12:16	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x65c743…
09-18 23:01:01	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x487e2e…
09-18 12:42:39	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xa89da2…
09-17 20:33:10	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x398b0e…
09-17 14:33:03	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xa4c756…
07-08 13:55:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc92cc0…
07-07 21:18:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x373dab…
07-07 15:40:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x9fc719…
07-07 15:25:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0xf116d0…
07-06 21:12:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x862ff0…
07-06 21:09:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x31e376…
07-06 21:09:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x328b26…
07-06 21:08:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x18f990…
07-06 21:08:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xbc72cd…
06-28 16:33:52	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	26¢	$13	0x703f38…
06-28 13:16:46	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xd30235…
06-27 19:48:16	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x1909ab…
06-24 10:59:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?	Yes	SELL	163	30¢	$49	0xab3da2…
05-14 12:07:07	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	59	3¢	$2	0x8a9338…
05-09 05:41:39	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x573d48…
04-29 19:25:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x2d840f…
04-21 00:05:54	Uber # of trips above 3.4B in Q1?	No	SELL	253	4¢	$9	0x7d42fd…
04-17 21:50:10	Uber # of trips above 3.2B in Q1?	No	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x353d51…
04-17 19:42:08	Uber # of trips above 3.2B in Q1?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xd6483c…
04-17 18:42:30	Uber # of trips above 3.2B in Q1?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x523a15…
04-16 23:40:04	Uber # of trips above 3.2B in Q1?	No	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x78f18c…
04-16 19:56:26	Uber # of trips above 3.2B in Q1?	No	BUY	62	7¢	$4	0x800c23…
04-16 19:56:22	Uber # of trips above 3.2B in Q1?	No	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0x34d84e…
04-16 18:17:36	Uber # of trips above 3.2B in Q1?	No	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0x9657c3…
04-16 15:36:40	Uber # of trips above 3.2B in Q1?	No	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xbb960c…
04-16 15:33:42	Uber # of trips above 3.4B in Q1?	No	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x4e884a…
04-16 13:05:16	Uber # of trips above 3.4B in Q1?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x93e80c…
04-15 20:27:56	Uber # of trips above 3.4B in Q1?	No	BUY	98	17¢	$17	0xb5868e…
04-15 20:27:34	Uber # of trips above 3.4B in Q1?	No	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x624976…
04-15 20:27:20	Uber # of trips above 3.4B in Q1?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xcf5909…
04-15 20:27:10	Uber # of trips above 3.4B in Q1?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xd97b60…
04-14 21:28:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x68f44e…
04-14 16:43:00	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x766329…
04-12 19:02:19	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x7105a2…
04-12 18:47:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0x4f7ec0…
04-12 17:58:51	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x4ee41e…
04-09 18:50:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc9d06f…
03-29 14:30:46	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x7294dc…
03-23 11:25:13	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	SELL	79	1¢	$1	0xdbb27a…
03-23 11:18:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x06acaf…
03-19 20:33:25	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	SELL	15	50¢	$7	0xb7dd30…
03-18 14:48:25	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5bb09a…
03-15 10:20:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x40df76…
03-15 10:17:01	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	SELL	14	32¢	$4	0x5f8056…
03-15 00:10:47	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x9bf470…
03-14 23:54:21	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	79	4¢	$3	0x29771a…
03-14 17:33:23	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xabd7aa…
03-14 17:32:31	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa2ca3c…
03-14 01:15:21	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1e8d9e…
03-14 00:50:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0xd18257…
03-14 00:42:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x435512…
03-13 15:57:23	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x95f5cf…
03-13 08:52:53	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xbf596c…
03-13 00:31:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x3fb89a…
03-12 23:52:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x8209d1…
03-12 23:37:09	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 851	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc91c61…
03-12 23:36:33	will claude 5 be released by march 15 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5469a5…
03-12 23:31:39	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xbbb572…
03-12 23:24:37	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 851	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x55bed7…
03-12 23:14:25	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4ac239…