Extra-Large-Spill 0x452696…797a45
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$36
Unrealized P&L
+$737
Hit rate
95.4%
Resolved
2
Trades
3,232
lifetime
Volume
$851.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$264
Open exposure
$11.5K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 07-14 23:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
43% 50% +$36
Other
36% — —
Crypto
11% — —
Sports
9% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +3,375 $3,236 97¢ $3.3K +$51 07-12 05:35
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +3,000 $2,580 86¢ $2.6K +$15 06-24 13:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +3,129 $1,516 66¢ $2.1K +$565 06-21 03:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $780 86¢ $865 +$85 06-23 10:15
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +1,000 $810 76¢ $765 $-45 07-13 20:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,946 $262 29¢ $555 +$292 07-08 07:27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $440 18¢ $370 $-70 07-03 09:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +400 $344 86¢ $346 +$2 06-22 04:46
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +1,000 $450 30¢ $305 $-145 06-24 12:39
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +263 $184 70¢ $183 $-1 07-13 10:37
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +334 $123 34¢ $112 $-12 07-07 06:27