Complete-Referendum 0x3c593a…011766
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$172
Unrealized P&L
-$1.14K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
5,027
lifetime
Volume
$1.86M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$370
Open exposure
$117.0K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
51% 0% $-172
Other
40% — —
Crypto
5% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 195 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +53,917 $49,488 100¢ $53.7K +$4,186 06-26 14:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -43,333 $-40,863 96¢ $-41556 $-693 06-08 11:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +8,888 $8,355 100¢ $8.9K +$511 06-20 05:37
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -5,555 $-5,355 100¢ $-5549 $-194 05-30 22:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +9,802 $4,906 40¢ $4.0K $-936 06-16 14:33
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +3,340 $2,600 80¢ $2.7K +$55 06-24 06:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2,222 $644 30¢ $655 +$11 06-19 22:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -17,248 $214 0¢ $-43 $-257 06-19 21:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -16,506 $-264 0¢ $-41 +$223 06-23 09:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +4,444 $1,022 0¢ $20 $-1,002 06-11 20:04
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -3,804 $1,462 0¢ $-10 $-1,471 06-18 05:21
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +1,829 $1,577 0¢ $2 $-1,576 06-20 18:54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-1 20¢ $-1 +$0 06-17 16:08