Complete-Referendum 0x3c593a…011766
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$172
Unrealized P&L
+$734
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
5,412
lifetime
Volume
$2.06M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$381
Open exposure
$69.6K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
52% 0% $-172
Other
39% — —
Crypto
5% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 195 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -43,333 $-40,863 96¢ $-41795 $-932 06-08 11:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +24,151 $13,367 74¢ $18.0K +$4,625 07-20 07:40
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +9,802 $4,906 34¢ $3.3K $-1,622 06-16 14:33
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +3,340 $2,600 84¢ $2.8K +$222 06-24 06:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2,349 $2,295 99¢ $2.3K +$22 07-14 15:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -7,268 $-1,163 14¢ $-981 +$182 07-06 23:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2,222 $644 20¢ $456 $-189 06-19 22:58
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +1,829 $1,577 0¢ $2 $-1,576 06-20 18:54