Realized P&L
-$37
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
61.5%
Resolved
145
Trades
424
lifetime
Volume
$817
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$6
9 positions
First seen
2026-07-23
last 10-26 16:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Crypto
85% 56% +$2
Tech
7% 27% -$41
Other
6% 50% +$6
Politics
2% 50% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +9 $5 30¢ $3 -$2 07-31 20:42
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 10-26 16:35
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +10 $1 8¢ $1 $0 10-26 16:34
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 $0 10-26 16:34
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 23¢ $1 $0 07-27 15:24
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +7 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-31 20:42
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes +167 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-24 00:33
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +4 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 07-23 19:58
will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026 Yes +5 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 07-27 15:24