(anonymous) 0xc95287…cd33bb
3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$610
Unrealized P&L
+$160
Hit rate
12.3%
Resolved
32
Trades
648
lifetime
Volume
$40.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$30.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 20:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
50% 0% -$3
Politics
35% — —
Sports
16% 52% -$606
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +7,088 $6,902 100¢ $7.1K +$179 09-14 00:33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +4,450 $4,360 98¢ $4.4K +$5 10-27 18:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +3,498 $3,037 86¢ $3.0K -$11 10-27 18:51
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +3,071 $2,960 96¢ $2.9K -$13 10-26 17:06
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,882 $1,827 98¢ $1.9K +$26 10-27 08:08
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,993 $1,794 88¢ $1.8K -$39 10-25 08:29
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,744 $1,671 98¢ $1.7K +$40 09-14 18:56
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,569 $1,360 92¢ $1.5K +$91 09-15 02:53
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +999 $978 98¢ $984 +$6 10-26 22:52
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +945 $806 86¢ $808 +$2 09-15 10:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +777 $703 92¢ $711 +$8 10-26 23:05
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +694 $658 93¢ $648 -$10 09-13 16:08
New pandemic in 2026? No +555 $523 97¢ $536 +$13 09-14 01:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,241 $431 14¢ $437 +$6 10-24 14:44
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +445 $428 97¢ $430 +$2 09-09 11:35
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +267 $262 99¢ $264 +$2 09-10 01:10
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +253 $247 97¢ $245 -$1 09-11 03:46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,452 $139 12¢ $174 +$35 10-26 09:21
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +945 $132 15¢ $137 +$5 09-13 16:54
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +3,278 $131 4¢ $133 +$1 10-27 20:41
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +1,569 $205 8¢ $118 -$87 09-13 12:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,421 $90 2¢ $84 -$6 10-27 19:09
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +819 $74 8¢ $70 -$5 10-27 02:28
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +694 $37 7¢ $47 +$9 09-14 20:52
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,366 $70 2¢ $37 -$34 10-27 19:31
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,744 $76 2¢ $32 -$43 09-13 20:57
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +555 $32 3¢ $19 -$13 09-14 08:22
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +1,059 $22 2¢ $16 -$6 10-27 13:24
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +445 $17 3¢ $15 -$2 09-10 15:26
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +253 $7 3¢ $7 +$1 09-09 04:11