Realized P&L (90d)
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (90d)
2
Trades (90d)
735
766 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$42.0K
$44.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$31.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 16:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
47% 0% -$21
Politics
37% — —
Sports
17% 52% -$606
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,387 $5,279 98¢ $5.3K +$2 10-29 15:52
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +4,735 $4,559 97¢ $4.6K +$22 10-30 15:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +4,534 $3,949 88¢ $4.0K +$64 10-30 02:34
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,400 $3,316 98¢ $3.3K +$18 10-30 15:38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,787 $3,401 88¢ $3.3K -$70 10-30 15:32
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,744 $1,671 98¢ $1.7K +$39 09-14 18:56
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1,596 $1,564 98¢ $1.6K +$2 10-30 16:35
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,569 $1,360 94¢ $1.5K +$122 09-15 02:53
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,095 $991 92¢ $1.0K +$12 10-28 05:53
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +945 $806 85¢ $803 -$3 09-15 10:19
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +694 $658 96¢ $668 +$10 09-13 16:08
New pandemic in 2026? No +555 $523 97¢ $537 +$14 09-14 01:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,325 $563 12¢ $497 -$65 10-29 17:46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,787 $390 12¢ $456 +$66 10-29 19:36
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +445 $428 98¢ $434 +$6 09-09 11:35
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +267 $262 99¢ $264 +$2 09-10 01:10
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +258 $244 95¢ $246 +$2 10-30 14:04
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +253 $247 95¢ $241 -$6 09-11 03:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +4,956 $193 3¢ $161 -$32 10-30 08:15
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +945 $132 15¢ $142 +$9 09-13 16:54
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,305 $120 8¢ $111 -$9 10-29 17:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,374 $108 2¢ $105 -$3 10-30 14:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +1,569 $205 6¢ $86 -$119 09-13 12:46
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,623 $96 2¢ $71 -$26 10-30 01:10
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,744 $76 2¢ $34 -$42 09-13 20:57
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +1,518 $32 2¢ $29 -$4 10-29 17:54
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +694 $37 4¢ $27 -$11 09-14 20:52
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +443 $22 5¢ $21 -$2 10-30 14:03
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +555 $32 3¢ $18 -$14 09-14 08:22
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +253 $7 5¢ $11 +$5 09-09 04:11