Realized P&L (7d)
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$21
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
252
737 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$16.2K
$44.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$27.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 09:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
48% 0% -$21
Politics
35% — —
Sports
17% 52% -$606
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,006 $4,906 98¢ $4.9K +$10 10-29 09:27
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +3,736 $3,598 97¢ $3.6K +$19 10-28 02:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +3,704 $3,215 88¢ $3.2K +$27 10-28 10:28
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,075 $2,997 98¢ $3.0K +$11 10-29 00:22
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,714 $2,438 89¢ $2.4K -$10 10-28 20:39
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,744 $1,671 98¢ $1.7K +$40 09-14 18:56
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,569 $1,360 94¢ $1.5K +$106 09-15 02:53
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1,351 $1,323 98¢ $1.3K -$3 10-28 22:30
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,095 $991 90¢ $991 +$1 10-28 05:53
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +945 $806 86¢ $817 +$12 09-15 10:19
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +694 $658 93¢ $644 -$14 09-13 16:08
New pandemic in 2026? No +555 $523 96¢ $535 +$12 09-14 01:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,946 $520 12¢ $493 -$27 10-29 10:02
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +445 $428 97¢ $433 +$5 09-09 11:35
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +267 $262 99¢ $264 +$2 09-10 01:10
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,455 $254 11¢ $259 +$5 10-28 17:11
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +253 $247 97¢ $245 -$2 09-11 03:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +4,327 $173 3¢ $138 -$35 10-28 20:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +945 $132 14¢ $128 -$5 09-13 16:54
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,123 $104 10¢ $107 +$3 10-28 19:59
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +1,569 $205 6¢ $102 -$103 09-13 12:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,973 $100 2¢ $90 -$11 10-29 04:57
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,915 $82 2¢ $63 -$19 10-29 08:24
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +694 $37 7¢ $50 +$13 09-14 20:52
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,744 $76 2¢ $32 -$43 09-13 20:57
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +1,275 $27 2¢ $29 +$2 10-29 10:34
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +555 $32 4¢ $20 -$12 09-14 08:22
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +445 $17 3¢ $12 -$5 09-10 15:26
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +253 $7 3¢ $8 +$1 09-09 04:11
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +267 $5 1¢ $3 -$2 09-11 06:10