(anonymous) 0xc95287…cd33bb
4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$627
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
7.3%
Resolved
33
Trades
808
lifetime
Volume
$47.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$30.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 11:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
47% 0% -$21
Politics
37% — —
Sports
16% 52% -$606
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,387 $5,279 98¢ $5.3K +$2 10-29 15:52
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +4,520 $4,351 97¢ $4.4K +$21 10-29 17:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +4,534 $3,949 88¢ $4.0K +$64 10-30 02:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,724 $3,345 87¢ $3.3K -$92 10-30 02:21
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,075 $2,997 98¢ $3.0K +$17 10-29 00:22
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,744 $1,671 98¢ $1.7K +$40 09-14 18:56
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,569 $1,360 94¢ $1.5K +$106 09-15 02:53
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1,452 $1,422 98¢ $1.4K +$3 10-30 11:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,095 $991 92¢ $1.0K +$12 10-28 05:53
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +945 $806 86¢ $808 +$2 09-15 10:19
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? No +694 $658 94¢ $655 -$3 09-13 16:08
New pandemic in 2026? No +555 $523 97¢ $536 +$13 09-14 01:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,325 $563 12¢ $497 -$65 10-29 17:46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,787 $390 13¢ $479 +$89 10-29 19:36
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +445 $428 97¢ $432 +$4 09-09 11:35
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +267 $262 99¢ $264 +$2 09-10 01:10
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +253 $247 95¢ $241 -$6 09-11 03:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +4,956 $193 3¢ $161 -$32 10-30 08:15
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +945 $132 15¢ $137 +$5 09-13 16:54
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,305 $120 8¢ $111 -$9 10-29 17:54
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +1,569 $205 6¢ $102 -$103 09-13 12:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,226 $105 2¢ $102 -$3 10-29 21:24
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,623 $96 2¢ $71 -$26 10-30 01:10
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +694 $37 6¢ $39 +$2 09-14 20:52
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,744 $76 2¢ $32 -$43 09-13 20:57
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +1,518 $32 2¢ $28 -$4 10-29 17:54
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +555 $32 3¢ $19 -$14 09-14 08:22
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +445 $17 3¢ $13 -$4 09-10 15:26
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +231 $13 5¢ $12 -$1 10-30 09:29
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +253 $7 5¢ $11 +$5 09-09 04:11