(anonymous) 0xfb4def…80ef35 Create alert
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.25K
Unrealized P&L
+$371
Hit rate
46.8%
Resolved
33
Trades
2,357
lifetime
Volume
$149.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$124.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 06:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
65% 33% -$12
Other
20% 100% +$4
Sports
15% 45% -$1,237
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +27,053 $25,907 99¢ $26.7K +$754 10-19 13:36
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +25,155 $24,108 98¢ $24.6K +$532 10-16 11:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +16,038 $15,433 98¢ $15.8K +$324 10-19 10:57
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +13,820 $13,233 95¢ $13.1K -$124 10-18 16:13
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +12,789 $12,396 95¢ $12.1K -$285 10-08 08:03
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +8,595 $7,485 88¢ $7.5K +$35 10-19 11:09
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5,070 $4,428 91¢ $4.6K +$173 08-21 00:37
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,887 $2,491 92¢ $2.7K +$179 10-06 21:08
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,223 $2,918 83¢ $2.7K -$255 08-28 22:40
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2,555 $2,478 100¢ $2.5K +$68 09-18 13:05
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1,209 $1,161 90¢ $1.1K -$77 10-19 12:54
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,595 $1,182 12¢ $1.1K -$108 10-16 19:52
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,053 $1,012 100¢ $1.0K +$36 08-06 09:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,020 $951 100¢ $1.0K +$66 09-09 14:21
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +982 $951 96¢ $945 -$6 10-14 06:27
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +13,820 $653 5¢ $712 +$58 10-20 02:01
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +12,789 $407 5¢ $678 +$270 10-09 08:52
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +677 $662 99¢ $671 +$9 08-29 05:56
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,223 $315 17¢ $559 +$244 09-04 17:57
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +556 $528 99¢ $549 +$21 08-25 21:13
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +25,155 $1,084 2¢ $516 -$568 10-17 01:37
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +523 $513 95¢ $500 -$14 09-11 10:21
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +521 $391 92¢ $477 +$86 08-15 13:17
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,070 $659 9¢ $469 -$190 08-19 12:43
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +27,053 $1,150 1¢ $392 -$758 10-19 03:25
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +368 $344 98¢ $360 +$17 09-18 11:11
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +284 $34 100¢ $283 +$249 10-19 09:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +16,038 $648 2¢ $281 -$367 10-19 02:19
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +276 $267 98¢ $271 +$4 08-15 12:29
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +266 $261 97¢ $259 -$1 09-04 12:55