Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

2.8%

Resolved

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$89.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$601

Open exposure

$78

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-30 07:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

100% 79% -$48

Other

0% 64% -$2

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-41	-$39	98¢	$-40	-$1	06-30 07:39
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	-26	-$25	98¢	$-25	-$1	06-30 07:39
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	-13	-$12	98¢	$-13	-$1	06-30 07:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel nuke iran by january 31	115	$86.9K	36,930	50,484	-13,554	No	-$63	01-16 15:33
will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	3	$2.3K	1,300	1,000	+300	No	+$6	01-16 15:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$39	0	41	-41	open	—	06-30 07:39
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	1	$25	0	25	-25	No	$0	06-30 07:39
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$25	0	26	-26	open	—	06-30 07:39
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$22	23	0	+23	No	+$1	01-11 10:59
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	$0	02-15 07:03
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$20	14	14	+0	No	-$4	03-14 03:31
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$19	22	0	+22	No	+$3	03-01 04:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$18	0	18	-18	No	$0	06-30 07:39
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	02-02 09:05
Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	1	$18	19	0	+19	Yes	+$1	03-26 07:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	04-26 18:03
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$15	13	13	+0	No	-$9	02-09 08:02
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	1	$15	0	15	-15	No	$0	06-30 07:39
will trump declare war on iran by february 28 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	02-27 16:18
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$14	19	0	+19	No	+$5	03-01 04:38
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$12	0	13	-13	open	—	06-30 07:39
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	01-31 14:07
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	01-10 08:18
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	01-05 16:07
us forces enter iran by january 31	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	01-13 10:01
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	1	$11	12	0	+12	Yes	+$1	01-08 11:08
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$11	13	0	+13	No	+$2	01-07 17:35
us government funding lapse on january 31	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	01-26 11:22
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-02 08:53
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-11 15:34
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	01-07 17:19
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	01-27 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 07:39:53	StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0xf4b27a…
06-30 07:39:47	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x688ff2…
06-30 07:39:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xcb7c23…
06-30 07:39:35	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x2e6e7b…
06-30 07:39:28	StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x55d366…
06-30 07:39:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	41	94¢	$39	0x564dcb…
04-26 18:03:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x25aedc…
03-26 07:11:41	Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x2193ef…
03-14 03:31:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0x736a19…
03-01 04:38:13	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0x1349cb…
03-01 04:19:21	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0xca2a7a…
02-27 16:34:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x762ab1…
02-27 16:18:03	will trump declare war on iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x2b476b…
02-15 07:03:47	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x6296c9…
02-09 08:02:21	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0xbf9500…
02-03 13:01:34	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x8c0473…
02-03 12:23:58	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8cc81d…
02-02 09:05:10	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x5376b2…
02-02 08:53:30	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xafbe1b…
01-31 14:07:44	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x934e47…
01-27 15:09:59	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xa8084b…
01-26 11:22:27	us government funding lapse on january 31	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x4b382c…
01-16 15:34:48	will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$998	0x7fee6a…
01-16 15:33:38	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	3,300	100¢	$3,284	0x1f4f5b…
01-16 15:10:04	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,985	0xc721df…
01-16 13:11:26	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	147	99¢	$146	0x6fce24…
01-16 13:09:24	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x331408…
01-16 12:26:28	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x23f2d1…
01-16 11:43:48	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	656	99¢	$652	0x3a4578…
01-16 10:43:26	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1ab514…
01-16 10:17:52	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0cfb1a…
01-16 10:14:10	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	617	99¢	$614	0x92b4e2…
01-16 10:04:34	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x22b18b…
01-16 10:02:50	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xd023de…
01-16 10:02:44	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x06e059…
01-16 09:34:46	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	100	99¢	$100	0x1ec085…
01-16 09:34:34	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,988	0xb96673…
01-16 09:34:24	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$994	0x346a4f…
01-16 09:33:54	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	769	99¢	$765	0xedb5fa…
01-16 09:32:32	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	624	100¢	$621	0xb0924a…
01-16 09:32:28	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	98	99¢	$98	0x20c751…
01-16 09:32:08	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1fa6ff…
01-16 09:32:06	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x03118c…
01-16 09:30:32	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1d5e48…
01-16 09:30:24	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	90	99¢	$90	0x066d47…
01-16 09:27:28	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	85	99¢	$85	0xea9dfd…
01-16 09:25:30	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	85	99¢	$85	0x183098…
01-16 09:24:34	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xcdd658…
01-16 09:23:36	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x068439…
01-16 09:22:56	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x97e9af…
01-16 09:22:24	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe5521e…
01-16 09:22:16	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x907e1a…
01-16 09:21:50	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	95	99¢	$95	0xf37de8…
01-16 09:20:34	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x931c84…
01-16 09:20:32	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	85	99¢	$85	0x60214e…
01-16 09:18:18	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0x506ef8…
01-16 09:18:06	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x18cd8b…
01-16 09:17:22	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xb2f2f5…
01-16 09:15:56	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x14c087…
01-16 09:15:40	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x796ca2…
01-16 09:14:10	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xb3ce76…
01-16 09:13:56	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x50be9f…
01-16 09:12:52	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xbf38b0…
01-16 09:12:12	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	104	100¢	$103	0x98b9cc…
01-16 09:10:58	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb08b43…
01-16 09:10:34	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x5bbbdc…
01-16 09:10:04	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x808f76…
01-16 09:09:56	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x9010a7…
01-16 09:08:24	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x956f68…
01-16 09:07:50	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbfcd23…
01-16 09:06:54	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4ed239…
01-16 09:06:44	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x162eac…
01-16 09:06:18	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe0ded0…
01-16 09:05:00	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x22ea5f…
01-16 09:04:02	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x5b9b3d…
01-16 09:00:18	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6c74c6…
01-16 08:43:56	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	507	99¢	$504	0xd56d25…
01-16 08:41:18	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xbbd5f7…
01-16 08:41:04	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1,436	99¢	$1,428	0xc1f5fc…
01-16 07:50:56	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	6,000	99¢	$5,964	0x15dfcf…
01-16 05:37:10	will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x518eff…
01-16 05:35:50	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1,130	99¢	$1,123	0xdbf6e0…
01-16 05:34:52	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1,870	99¢	$1,859	0x5123fb…
01-16 05:33:36	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1,870	99¢	$1,859	0xd02c37…
01-16 05:30:30	will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0x7bb7f9…
01-16 05:29:24	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$994	0x3bdcbf…
01-16 05:29:16	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,982	0x87d833…
01-16 05:29:06	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,982	0x23bdbe…
01-16 05:00:28	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,982	0x9f32b6…
01-16 05:00:22	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,982	0x4aafaa…
01-16 04:59:24	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	2,500	99¢	$2,485	0x7e98ed…
01-16 04:59:06	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	2,425	99¢	$2,410	0xc6f2bc…
01-15 19:25:00	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	606	99¢	$602	0xdbece9…
01-15 19:24:22	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	714	99¢	$709	0xb3f429…
01-15 19:21:02	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x43eb0b…
01-15 19:20:46	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x46130d…
01-15 16:25:26	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	854	99¢	$848	0x8da86d…
01-15 16:21:40	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xfe7e05…
01-15 15:34:42	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1,003	99¢	$996	0x3bf56d…
01-15 15:07:08	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	753	99¢	$749	0x3bd6b2…