Sure-Footed-Interest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.54K

Unrealized P&L

+$600

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

228

Trades

1,760

lifetime

Volume

$606.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$345

Open exposure

$22.3K

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 10-28 14:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Politics

58% 86% +$2,262

Other

36% 91% +$1,073

Tech

3% 100% +$93

Crypto

3% 88% +$59

Sports

0% 100% +$40

Pop-Culture

0% 75% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
New pandemic in 2026?	No	+15,198	$14,288	97¢	$14.8K	+$462	10-24 02:18
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	+5,000	$4,550	92¢	$4.6K	+$75	10-13 02:35
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,000	$964	98¢	$983	+$19	10-16 21:53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+1,000	$935	94¢	$940	+$5	10-10 13:01
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	+500	$466	97¢	$484	+$18	10-10 13:44
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	+501	$458	96¢	$478	+$21	10-24 14:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by April 30?	90	$65.6K	34,541	35,791	-1,250	No	+$45	04-24 02:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	103	$59.9K	32,000	32,000	+0	open	—	06-12 10:49
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	90	$47.2K	34,632	13,026	+21,606	Yes	+$339	05-08 12:38
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	56	$32.1K	23,233	10,310	+12,923	No	+$585	09-30 19:35
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	31	$31.1K	16,905	14,905	+2,000	Yes	+$167	05-25 02:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	82	$28.3K	14,521	14,521	+0	No	+$241	04-26 18:59
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	28	$27.5K	14,151	14,151	+0	Yes	+$204	05-24 08:14
New pandemic in 2026?	46	$21.5K	19,048	3,850	+15,198	open	—	10-24 02:18
Netanyahu out by April 30?	34	$18.7K	9,412	9,531	-119	No	+$57	04-25 13:11
Trump out as President by June 30?	13	$16.6K	8,337	8,337	+0	No	+$61	06-27 01:47
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$13.8K	13,800	0	+13,800	No	+$46	06-03 18:53
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	13	$13.4K	6,773	6,773	+0	No	+$40	06-28 21:36
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	27	$13.0K	11,541	1,541	+10,000	No	+$63	08-13 07:25
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	43	$10.6K	5,265	5,515	-250	No	+$2	04-09 00:29
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	2	$9.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	No	+$27	07-24 15:59
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	15	$8.8K	4,459	4,459	+0	No	-$82	04-11 09:34
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	37	$8.2K	8,313	0	+8,313	No	+$140	04-08 02:49
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	69	$8.0K	4,043	4,023	+20	Yes	+$5	05-08 13:04
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	11	$7.1K	3,457	3,768	-311	No	+$306	05-26 01:43
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	9	$6.1K	6,095	0	+6,095	Yes	+$31	10-18 23:14
Trump out as President by May 31?	8	$5.7K	2,991	2,789	+202	No	+$41	05-08 12:27
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	6	$5.3K	5,372	0	+5,372	Yes	+$23	04-23 20:21
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	6	$4.6K	2,632	2,045	+587	No	+$79	06-30 12:00
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	1	$4.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	10-13 02:35
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	4	$4.4K	4,462	0	+4,462	No	+$22	10-04 13:20
Will Solange Couto be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	5	$4.4K	4,030	410	+3,620	No	+$22	04-15 16:11
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	10	$4.3K	2,225	2,225	+0	No	+$7	05-25 23:22
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	21	$4.2K	2,311	1,916	+395	No	+$19	04-13 03:52
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	11	$4.0K	2,170	1,817	+353	Yes	+$16	04-27 09:30
Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?	5	$3.4K	1,714	1,714	+0	Yes	+$6	04-14 15:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:16:05	Brazil declares emergency rule in Brasília by January 31, 2027?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xbb52b0…
10-28 14:15:47	Brazil declares emergency rule in Brasília by January 31, 2027?	No	BUY	95	90¢	$86	0x565e41…
10-28 03:46:18	Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x074a77…
10-28 01:34:17	Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?	No	BUY	1,277	95¢	$1,211	0xc6fd59…
10-26 22:03:05	Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf518b6…
10-26 21:59:11	Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November?	No	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0x362b11…
10-26 20:07:03	Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?	No	BUY	979	96¢	$940	0xb0e597…
10-26 20:05:41	Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?	No	BUY	219	96¢	$210	0xe0d5fd…
10-25 23:53:39	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	BUY	314	98¢	$310	0x0540aa…
10-25 23:43:45	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?	Yes	BUY	664	99¢	$660	0x8c51be…
10-25 23:36:15	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?	Yes	BUY	528	99¢	$524	0x35d52c…
10-25 23:35:02	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	BUY	138	99¢	$136	0x695f5f…
10-25 23:33:38	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xaac0c9…
10-25 23:33:38	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0x88442a…
10-25 23:33:38	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x550049…
10-25 23:31:50	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	BUY	67	96¢	$65	0xaab600…
10-25 23:31:50	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x3ab9a3…
10-25 23:31:50	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x13de5e…
10-25 23:31:21	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	BUY	253	96¢	$244	0x6975d3…
10-25 23:30:33	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	BUY	74	96¢	$71	0x24b26c…
10-25 23:27:41	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?	Yes	SELL	346	0¢	$2	0x53c0aa…
10-25 22:45:24	Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	457	99¢	$454	0x31204d…
10-25 13:53:44	Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November?	No	BUY	212	99¢	$210	0x1c04f5…
10-24 14:20:42	Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	BUY	400	92¢	$368	0x0d05c6…
10-24 02:18:51	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1,811	96¢	$1,743	0x6ed3f3…
10-21 20:08:51	Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above $7.35B?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x9a0113…
10-19 02:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x8db4cd…
10-19 01:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0x901153…
10-18 23:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xf44ea5…
10-18 23:14:56	Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	Yes	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0x967609…
10-18 22:48:09	Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	Yes	BUY	400	99¢	$398	0x881736…
10-18 22:40:12	Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	Yes	BUY	1,357	100¢	$1,354	0x149cdc…
10-18 22:38:24	Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,994	0x75cbad…
10-18 22:08:23	Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x549fd1…
10-18 22:07:54	Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	Yes	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0x8462d9…
10-18 22:06:24	Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	Yes	BUY	623	99¢	$617	0x714000…
10-18 13:49:33	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	312	96¢	$299	0x7e3cb1…
10-18 12:46:45	Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xad54d0…
10-18 12:43:50	Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	Yes	BUY	58	90¢	$53	0x668ecd…
10-17 16:46:42	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1,259	96¢	$1,212	0x174d6d…
10-17 12:57:32	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	520	96¢	$499	0xd61700…
10-17 02:26:30	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0x838b1b…
10-16 21:58:30	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	3,345	97¢	$3,239	0x129d9d…
10-16 21:53:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$964	0xcfbcdf…
10-15 23:27:00	Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	No	BUY	2,180	100¢	$2,178	0xa5c67e…
10-15 16:12:16	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0x5269e5…
10-15 16:12:13	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x522d24…
10-15 15:56:16	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?	Yes	BUY	301	0¢	$0	0x8ce6a1…
10-15 15:46:14	Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x50b1a8…
10-15 14:29:26	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	231	96¢	$221	0x2eadff…
10-15 13:37:28	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x7414ce…
10-15 09:01:14	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	147	95¢	$140	0xa4bd7c…
10-15 05:45:37	Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	BUY	101	89¢	$90	0x350c34…
10-14 19:59:52	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?	Yes	SELL	72	98¢	$71	0x5408d3…
10-14 07:18:08	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x84f920…
10-14 01:07:57	another crypto hack over 100m by october 31 20261012	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x1a0a2e…
10-13 22:40:21	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	509	95¢	$483	0x47e0d2…
10-13 18:58:16	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x102fe5…
10-13 16:51:07	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2f0e91…
10-13 16:49:39	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	367	99¢	$363	0x63e7d6…
10-13 16:19:57	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x5719a3…
10-13 16:18:04	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x7c4b61…
10-13 16:17:04	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x81149d…
10-13 16:16:22	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x13e045…
10-13 15:48:10	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	98¢	$284	0x45a9cf…
10-13 15:47:25	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	226	99¢	$224	0xe134af…
10-13 02:35:27	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5,000	91¢	$4,550	0x2ae900…
10-13 02:24:48	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	No	BUY	150	83¢	$124	0x3075f1…
10-13 02:10:23	Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?	Roblox	BUY	316	88¢	$278	0xd173d8…
10-12 22:30:35	will international business machines ibm q3 software revenue be above 20261008120023000 7pt35b	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xdf2730…
10-12 21:59:00	will international business machines ibm q3 software revenue be above 20261008120023000 7pt35b	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xd0ef78…
10-12 21:43:17	will blackstone bx q3 total assets under management aum be above 20261008120027000 1pt36t	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x4e4951…
10-12 21:28:45	will international business machines ibm q3 software revenue be above 20261008120023000 7pt35b	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xf1a0bd…
10-12 21:27:50	will international business machines ibm q3 software revenue be above 20261008120023000 7pt35b	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x383649…
10-12 00:06:03	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	199	94¢	$187	0x06ef22…
10-11 15:47:45	Virginia Fonseca and Vinícius Júnior confirm breakup in 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	73¢	$108	0xfdfbd3…
10-10 17:11:24	Will USD/BRL hit 6.75 (High) in 2026?	No	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0x7f31a1…
10-10 17:09:43	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	500	88¢	$441	0x3a7c2a…
10-10 13:44:24	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	93¢	$466	0xd74faa…
10-10 13:01:25	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0xd3c157…
10-09 17:26:55	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	833	94¢	$783	0x6ee748…
10-09 17:17:16	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x3cc34a…
10-09 09:03:51	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x290155…
10-08 23:00:21	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	410	94¢	$385	0x7a6f69…
10-08 18:59:21	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	2,714	95¢	$2,579	0x070b12…
10-08 17:16:24	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	286	95¢	$271	0x56a67e…
10-08 14:40:30	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1,268	95¢	$1,204	0x667fa7…
10-06 15:26:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	463	85¢	$391	0x3b3bcd…
10-06 15:20:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0xc375b4…
10-06 15:20:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x77b7e1…
10-06 14:39:48	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?	Yes	BUY	440	99¢	$435	0x19805a…
10-05 03:04:59	Will Dr. Zacharias Calil win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	No	BUY	245	97¢	$238	0x9f569b…
10-05 03:00:11	Will Rogerio Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	Yes	BUY	88	97¢	$86	0x610169…
10-04 23:46:34	Will Renato Casagrande win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x361266…
10-04 22:18:23	Will Gladson Camelí win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?	No	BUY	450	98¢	$441	0x1035f5…
10-04 22:16:04	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	429	99¢	$423	0xa05b07…
10-04 22:14:56	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x0e814d…
10-04 21:59:05	Will Gladson Camelí win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xf74a7a…
10-04 21:47:47	Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x882f40…
10-04 21:47:32	Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x40bfc8…