Sure-Footed-Interest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

+$181

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,389

lifetime

Volume

$416.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$300

Open exposure

$5.98K

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 07-09 22:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

63% 100% +$11

Other

30% 100% +$14

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	-4,667	$-4,452	96¢	$-4497	$-45	06-12 10:49
New pandemic in 2026?	No	-805	$-879	94¢	$-752	+$126	07-09 22:22
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	+750	$628	97¢	$728	+$100	06-09 16:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by April 30?	90	$65.6K	34,541	35,791	-1,250	open	—	04-24 02:58
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	87	$45.0K	34,632	10,826	+23,806	open	—	04-26 21:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	82	$28.3K	14,521	14,521	+0	open	—	04-26 18:59
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	29	$24.1K	14,416	10,309	+4,107	open	—	05-24 23:05
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	24	$23.2K	13,151	10,699	+2,452	open	—	05-24 08:14
Netanyahu out by April 30?	34	$18.7K	9,412	9,531	-119	open	—	04-25 13:11
Trump out as President by June 30?	13	$16.6K	8,337	8,337	+0	open	—	06-27 01:47
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	8	$10.7K	4,026	6,773	-2,747	open	—	06-28 21:36
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	43	$10.6K	5,265	5,515	-250	open	—	04-09 00:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$8.9K	8,900	0	+8,900	open	—	06-03 18:53
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	15	$8.8K	4,459	4,459	+0	open	—	04-11 09:34
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	37	$8.2K	8,313	0	+8,313	open	—	04-08 02:49
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	69	$8.0K	4,043	4,023	+20	Yes	+$5	05-08 13:04
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	11	$7.1K	3,457	3,768	-311	open	—	05-26 01:43
Trump out as President by May 31?	8	$5.7K	2,991	2,789	+202	open	—	05-08 12:27
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	6	$5.3K	5,372	0	+5,372	open	—	04-23 20:21
New pandemic in 2026?	24	$4.5K	2,045	2,850	-805	open	—	07-09 22:22
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	11	$4.5K	0	4,667	-4,667	open	—	06-12 10:49
Will Solange Couto be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	5	$4.4K	4,030	410	+3,620	open	—	04-15 16:11
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	10	$4.3K	2,225	2,225	+0	open	—	05-25 23:22
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	21	$4.2K	2,311	1,916	+395	open	—	04-13 03:52
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	11	$4.0K	2,170	1,817	+353	open	—	04-27 09:30
Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?	5	$3.4K	1,714	1,714	+0	open	—	04-14 15:39
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	18	$3.0K	3,024	0	+3,024	open	—	05-29 12:44
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	4	$2.7K	2,660	0	+2,660	open	—	06-07 16:03
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	120	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	04-11 15:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?	5	$2.3K	2,344	0	+2,344	open	—	04-14 02:45
will mark ruttes remarks not air	6	$2.3K	2,336	0	+2,336	open	—	04-09 16:44
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	57	$2.2K	2,173	0	+2,173	open	—	04-25 17:27
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	5	$2.1K	629	1,510	-882	open	—	06-25 20:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 22:22:05	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1,500	94¢	$1,410	0x260156…
07-08 11:09:31	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1,350	94¢	$1,269	0xa54776…
07-03 11:58:40	will valve add sticker trade ups before november 20260608173609897	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x69c7b5…
06-30 12:00:41	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,045	100¢	$2,041	0xf3847d…
06-29 00:54:34	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x8678bb…
06-28 21:36:08	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1,773	100¢	$1,769	0x427cf2…
06-28 21:02:52	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0x07d837…
06-28 21:02:38	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x8600bd…
06-27 21:04:55	Will Amazon acquire TikTok?	No	SELL	304	100¢	$303	0xc56462…
06-27 20:56:23	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x910cd7…
06-27 20:56:10	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	291	100¢	$290	0x967716…
06-27 01:47:55	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1,075	100¢	$1,073	0x5782ee…
06-26 01:20:10	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,994	0xde025d…
06-25 20:08:34	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	SELL	710	100¢	$709	0x460fc6…
06-25 20:08:17	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xb70200…
06-20 13:59:25	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,986	0xe4b5ba…
06-20 13:49:47	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,979	0xa45350…
06-20 13:45:49	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	364	100¢	$362	0x797dec…
06-20 02:44:49	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	845	100¢	$841	0x0e8905…
06-18 10:30:41	will valve add sticker trade ups before november 20260608173609897	No	BUY	66	83¢	$55	0x4e2e25…
06-18 10:29:44	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x1a3a8a…
06-16 17:58:58	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	SELL	800	100¢	$796	0x31fe25…
06-16 13:06:01	Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x4294c1…
06-15 14:36:01	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x8d967e…
06-15 14:36:00	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x70ee85…
06-15 14:36:00	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x682b04…
06-15 14:36:00	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x2be945…
06-15 14:33:51	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xbfa78b…
06-15 14:33:51	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xb7a405…
06-15 14:33:51	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xb777d3…
06-15 14:33:51	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x8a713e…
06-15 14:33:51	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x411597…
06-15 14:31:09	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb1ef51…
06-15 14:23:16	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$991	0x6ff807…
06-15 13:23:00	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1,337	100¢	$1,332	0xe916fb…
06-14 19:02:42	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	900	98¢	$886	0x110127…
06-14 19:00:58	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	126	98¢	$124	0x4089d6…
06-14 18:57:34	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x70bd80…
06-13 04:40:45	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1,337	99¢	$1,321	0x200440…
06-12 19:58:04	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,978	0x964798…
06-12 17:19:15	Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0xca6f31…
06-12 15:49:28	Will Amazon acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xdfb718…
06-12 15:21:57	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xb82dae…
06-12 14:51:15	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,982	0x127c99…
06-12 10:49:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1,660	96¢	$1,598	0x985277…
06-12 08:36:55	Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x0fec9a…
06-12 01:50:33	Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x607616…
06-11 21:32:58	Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0xdc27b0…
06-11 15:46:01	Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0c970c…
06-11 15:15:25	Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xd248c6…
06-11 14:52:16	Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?	No	BUY	143	96¢	$138	0xfb5dbd…
06-11 11:09:40	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	72	95¢	$69	0x3cad4a…
06-11 11:04:25	Will MrBeast hit 129 billion views by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8ca489…
06-11 10:59:39	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0xecab9e…
06-11 10:38:07	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	595	95¢	$565	0x95599d…
06-11 10:29:34	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0xc8ecee…
06-11 09:47:42	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x754c8b…
06-11 09:44:07	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	211	95¢	$200	0x76f29b…
06-11 09:32:51	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1,059	95¢	$1,006	0x6859e5…
06-11 08:56:22	Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xef4a63…
06-11 08:54:55	Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0x0f5645…
06-10 20:33:45	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0x887c22…
06-10 20:31:43	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x9887b1…
06-10 18:17:40	will valve add sticker trade ups before november 20260608173609897	No	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0x4781cb…
06-10 12:35:22	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	34	95¢	$33	0xfbd0d9…
06-10 12:26:16	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x71ae8c…
06-10 12:14:30	will usdbrl hit 4 low in 2026	No	BUY	15	88¢	$14	0x8917de…
06-10 12:13:19	will usdbrl hit 4 low in 2026	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x18e1c4…
06-10 12:13:18	will usdbrl hit 4 low in 2026	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xbdfa03…
06-10 12:13:18	will usdbrl hit 4 low in 2026	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x76fa01…
06-10 12:13:16	will usdbrl hit 4 low in 2026	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xfece94…
06-10 12:13:13	will usdbrl hit 4 low in 2026	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xf48f98…
06-10 12:06:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	964	95¢	$912	0x3d9cb5…
06-10 12:04:45	will usdbrl hit 3pt75 low in 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xefaa6a…
06-10 12:04:43	will usdbrl hit 3pt75 low in 2026	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x18b782…
06-10 12:04:36	will usdbrl hit 3pt75 low in 2026	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x519f8a…
06-09 16:50:16	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	250	85¢	$212	0xb1b3b7…
06-08 17:48:42	Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	427	99¢	$423	0x5c56d1…
06-08 16:09:09	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2736f3…
06-08 15:47:07	Will Meta acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ce25b…
06-08 15:37:07	Will Amazon acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x15cba7…
06-08 14:01:34	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xcefbe6…
06-08 13:43:52	Will Amazon acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	293	99¢	$291	0x6a0b85…
06-08 13:43:31	Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	158	99¢	$157	0x46a126…
06-08 12:50:48	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	9	83¢	$8	0x6ca2d9…
06-08 12:27:34	Will MrBeast hit 129 billion views by June 30?	Yes	BUY	335	100¢	$334	0xbedcc9…
06-08 05:12:46	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$987	0xa46dbf…
06-07 19:53:33	Will MrBeast hit 129 billion views by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x62c8d8…
06-07 16:05:18	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd91ba1…
06-07 16:03:18	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0xbc8bb0…
06-07 12:24:34	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x95faf7…
06-07 11:24:39	Will MrBeast hit 128 billion views by June 30?	Yes	BUY	350	100¢	$349	0x01a025…
06-07 09:06:34	Will MrBeast hit 128 billion views by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x71b129…
06-07 09:06:13	Will MrBeast hit 129 billion views by June 30?	Yes	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0x251bc0…
06-07 07:31:12	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x45ccc6…
06-07 05:08:19	will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by june 30 2026	No	BUY	431	95¢	$409	0x7a0722…
06-07 05:06:31	will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by june 30 2026	No	BUY	351	90¢	$316	0x19d8a3…
06-07 04:54:45	Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	433	99¢	$429	0xf3df53…
06-07 03:33:39	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	32	83¢	$26	0xb5d99e…
06-07 02:56:48	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	453	83¢	$376	0xbe19bc…