Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
+$51
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,310
lifetime
Volume
$377.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$288
Open exposure
$14.3K
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 06-09 16:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
62% 100% +$11
Other
30% 100% +$14
Tech
4%
Crypto
3%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,660 $2,651 100¢ $2.7K +$5 06-07 16:03
Trump out as President by June 30? No +2,000 $1,976 99¢ $2.0K +$11 06-05 17:49
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +2,000 $1,977 99¢ $2.0K +$1 06-08 05:12
New pandemic in 2026? No +2,000 $1,760 88¢ $1.8K +$10 06-05 23:41
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok? No +1,158 $1,142 98¢ $1.1K $-3 06-08 13:43
Will Walmart acquire TikTok? No +994 $984 99¢ $985 +$2 06-08 17:48
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +750 $628 84¢ $634 +$6 06-09 16:50
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +629 $624 99¢ $624 +$1 06-08 14:01
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +520 $513 99¢ $516 +$2 06-06 11:45
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok? No +445 $439 99¢ $441 +$3 06-01 22:30
Will MrBeast hit 129 billion views by June 30? Yes +435 $433 100¢ $434 +$1 06-08 12:27
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? Yes +374 $371 100¢ $373 +$2 06-06 02:59
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? No +317 $312 99¢ $313 +$2 06-08 16:09
Will Amazon acquire TikTok? No +295 $292 99¢ $292 +$0 06-08 15:37
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30? No +215 $196 95¢ $205 +$9 06-06 15:52
Will Meta acquire TikTok? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-08 15:47