Easy-Variation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.30K

Unrealized P&L

+$280

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

655

lifetime

Volume

$256.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$392

Open exposure

$26.1K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-01 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

77% — —

Politics

23% 0% $-4,298

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+24,604	$23,035	94¢	$23.2K	+$130	07-01 12:30
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	+2,169	$2,117	98¢	$2.1K	+$14	06-29 03:25
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	+366	$302	90¢	$331	+$29	06-01 14:24
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	No	+229	$202	91¢	$209	+$7	06-27 02:27
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	-1,745	$-244	10¢	$-166	+$79	05-30 11:36
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	+117	$105	91¢	$106	+$1	06-23 06:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-100	$-37	18¢	$-18	+$20	06-02 10:51
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?	No	+11	$8	96¢	$10	+$2	06-10 07:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	3	$69.4K	49,309	24,705	+24,604	open	—	07-01 12:30
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	43	$49.2K	1,688	47,560	-45,872	open	—	06-29 03:22
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	4	$32.9K	16,596	16,596	+0	open	—	03-10 01:49
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	65	$17.6K	10,694	10,694	+0	open	—	04-09 00:41
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	5	$10.7K	0	10,776	-10,776	open	—	06-29 03:24
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$8.9K	5,519	5,519	+0	open	—	03-10 02:57
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	4	$7.7K	4,372	4,372	+0	open	—	04-08 16:59
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$7.5K	3,773	3,773	+0	open	—	05-13 06:07
spx opens up or down on february 19 2026	13	$4.0K	3,565	3,565	+0	open	—	02-19 13:49
will china join the board of peace	51	$3.8K	1,941	1,941	+0	open	—	03-20 08:51
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	13	$3.4K	1,785	1,785	+0	open	—	05-15 04:10
will trump visit china by march 31	3	$3.4K	1,704	1,704	+0	open	—	03-26 01:48
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$3.3K	3,418	0	+3,418	open	—	05-15 05:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$2.8K	0	7,062	-7,062	Yes	$-4,237	01-14 14:17
will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by december 31 2026	1	$2.8K	3,067	0	+3,067	open	—	06-29 03:27
highest temperature in shanghai on march 13 2026 12c	10	$2.3K	1,209	1,209	+0	open	—	03-13 04:06
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$2.1K	2,169	0	+2,169	open	—	06-29 03:25
spx opens up or down on february 20 2026	7	$2.1K	1,492	1,492	+0	open	—	02-20 11:12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	12	$1.7K	1,081	1,066	+16	open	—	04-13 06:25
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$1.6K	1,742	0	+1,742	open	—	05-15 05:40
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$1.5K	1,710	0	+1,710	open	—	05-13 06:39
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$1.5K	1,559	0	+1,559	open	—	05-15 05:38
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	3	$1.4K	1,516	0	+1,516	open	—	06-29 03:12
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$1.2K	1,296	0	+1,296	open	—	05-15 06:45
highest temperature in wuhan on march 28 2026 19c	8	$1.0K	546	546	+0	open	—	03-27 06:13
Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$917	940	0	+940	open	—	05-13 06:12
Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$914	946	0	+946	open	—	05-15 04:59
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$796	860	0	+860	open	—	05-13 06:47
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$735	776	0	+776	open	—	05-15 05:55
Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$708	769	0	+769	open	—	05-15 06:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 12:30:01	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	24,705	94¢	$23,198	0xf09142…
06-29 03:27:49	will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by december 31 2026	No	BUY	3,067	90¢	$2,760	0xf22e6f…
06-29 03:25:32	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,169	98¢	$2,117	0xc1ad23…
06-29 03:24:47	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,738	100¢	$3,734	0xe026fc…
06-29 03:23:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	30,504	94¢	$28,613	0x3b4eb3…
06-29 03:23:25	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	18,805	94¢	$17,620	0x2889d3…
06-29 03:22:46	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	35,670	100¢	$35,635	0xdcecbe…
06-29 03:12:17	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x0bf49e…
06-29 03:11:56	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x25aef2…
06-29 03:11:47	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	BUY	1,398	94¢	$1,314	0xb91ee6…
06-27 02:27:23	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	No	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x9dfb11…
06-27 02:27:02	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	No	BUY	82	88¢	$72	0x611121…
06-26 10:32:10	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,091	100¢	$1,089	0x1efef1…
06-26 10:32:08	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,647	100¢	$2,642	0xcd4637…
06-24 16:07:08	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	9,627	100¢	$9,607	0x5ec7f8…
06-24 13:51:50	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4ee407…
06-24 11:23:19	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd1b7dc…
06-24 09:49:08	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x76f591…
06-24 09:35:50	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4e56b9…
06-24 09:22:59	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x993f44…
06-24 09:04:41	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaf3af9…
06-24 09:01:25	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbcf4ee…
06-24 08:46:02	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x35c7fe…
06-24 07:53:58	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5a8f56…
06-24 07:53:55	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2eed1c…
06-24 07:53:53	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x91c273…
06-24 07:53:52	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3a2426…
06-24 07:53:50	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x834dec…
06-24 07:47:34	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xaf6342…
06-24 07:25:01	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x756d80…
06-24 06:47:46	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5d3c82…
06-24 05:10:38	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xc5f18a…
06-24 03:45:49	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0dd7b7…
06-24 03:22:11	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x969f60…
06-24 02:57:46	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc3fc7d…
06-24 01:49:13	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xff11e0…
06-24 01:42:46	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3e4635…
06-24 01:30:56	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2fcb91…
06-24 01:20:29	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc3cf3d…
06-24 01:04:47	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xff6cc8…
06-23 23:57:02	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6e0fd7…
06-23 23:32:02	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xeae384…
06-23 21:47:17	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc851f7…
06-23 21:46:38	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf31ed3…
06-23 21:23:43	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x50c0f7…
06-23 20:49:31	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xaed56d…
06-23 20:39:34	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x372756…
06-23 20:28:10	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd61821…
06-23 19:42:37	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc3e593…
06-23 19:35:34	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfbb006…
06-23 18:33:07	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf07a77…
06-23 16:45:56	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1,818	100¢	$1,814	0x1fa426…
06-23 16:28:14	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x42f97d…
06-23 16:03:08	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x94160b…
06-23 06:09:14	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xf636b7…
06-23 02:52:41	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x3feba9…
06-11 16:09:04	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	No	BUY	129	88¢	$114	0x86de38…
06-10 07:21:49	Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?	No	BUY	11	80¢	$8	0x9611f6…
06-02 10:51:51	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0xd7be5a…
06-01 14:24:31	Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	366	83¢	$302	0x4bc67e…
06-01 14:22:47	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1,323	98¢	$1,298	0x9b081d…
06-01 14:22:33	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,982	0x4d6a9f…
06-01 14:22:09	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	365	98¢	$358	0xe4deef…
06-01 14:21:34	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,300	99¢	$1,290	0xc8545d…
05-30 11:36:44	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	240	14¢	$34	0xc1fd86…
05-30 11:14:48	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	690	14¢	$97	0xf58ff1…
05-30 03:43:06	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	239	14¢	$34	0xd3372a…
05-29 21:23:23	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x237b9d…
05-29 21:23:23	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x0ae4a9…
05-29 15:35:11	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x36e8e5…
05-29 15:35:11	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x302827…
05-29 15:34:29	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	247	14¢	$35	0xbd1ca3…
05-29 01:56:45	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	315	14¢	$44	0x8afa72…
05-15 06:45:41	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	145	95¢	$137	0x2268ef…
05-15 06:03:55	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0x262c64…
05-15 06:00:50	Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x0e594c…
05-15 06:00:44	Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	121	98¢	$118	0x1231b7…
05-15 06:00:30	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	126	98¢	$124	0x3e85df…
05-15 06:00:25	Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x170695…
05-15 05:59:43	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	173	93¢	$161	0x2ccec6…
05-15 05:59:29	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	281	91¢	$255	0xf28d28…
05-15 05:58:40	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	43	95¢	$40	0x8fedde…
05-15 05:57:02	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xa8f7eb…
05-15 05:55:42	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0x5651b8…
05-15 05:55:36	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0xb08ce6…
05-15 05:55:14	Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x673dd4…
05-15 05:55:01	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	127	96¢	$121	0x874b71…
05-15 05:54:56	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0x1bcf8d…
05-15 05:54:32	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0xb0cfbe…
05-15 05:54:14	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	65	96¢	$62	0x4ce54c…
05-15 05:54:07	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	102	95¢	$97	0xe3aeb0…
05-15 05:52:06	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	158	97¢	$152	0x987392…
05-15 05:51:35	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x53d0aa…
05-15 05:51:24	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xaa271c…
05-15 05:51:16	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	146	96¢	$140	0x54ff19…
05-15 05:47:11	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,051	89¢	$938	0x199fd4…
05-15 05:43:41	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	570	95¢	$540	0xa4f564…
05-15 05:42:39	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x883549…
05-15 05:41:50	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	561	94¢	$529	0x727b68…
05-15 05:41:36	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	480	96¢	$459	0xd81e23…