Easy-Variation 0x43b4e4…2aec9c
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.30K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.24K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
798
lifetime
Volume
$315.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$396
Open exposure
$63.5K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-19 12:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
74% — —
Politics
26% 0% $-4,298
Crypto
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +21,104 $19,710 95¢ $20.1K +$349 07-17 18:45
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +20,000 $17,800 92¢ $18.3K +$500 07-03 17:21
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +10,000 $9,400 93¢ $9.3K $-85 07-06 05:03
Trump out as President before 2027? No +4,500 $4,140 92¢ $4.2K +$22 07-02 05:49
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +4,025 $3,542 90¢ $3.6K +$101 07-05 16:15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -3,087 $-2,985 96¢ $-2959 +$26 07-03 16:55
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +2,930 $2,620 94¢ $2.7K +$120 07-19 12:13
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +1,117 $1,025 90¢ $1.0K $-15 07-05 13:17
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +542 $509 96¢ $517 +$8 07-07 10:10
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +366 $302 92¢ $335 +$32 06-01 14:24
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? No +229 $202 91¢ $209 +$7 06-27 02:27
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +182 $164 88¢ $161 $-3 07-05 18:35
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No -1,745 $-244 6¢ $-113 +$131 05-30 11:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-37 14¢ $-14 +$24 06-02 10:51
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026? No +11 $8 93¢ $10 +$1 06-10 07:21
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +0 $-24 99¢ $0 +$24 07-15 18:33