Realized P&L
-$1.70K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.82K
Hit rate
80.1%
Resolved
100
Trades
1,481
lifetime
Volume
$562.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$380
Open exposure
$115.4K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-07 17:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
77% 54% +$3,401
Politics
22% 89% -$2,987
Sports
0% 29% -$2,175
Crypto
0% 60% +$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026 No +35,116 $32,585 97¢ $34.2K +$1,636 07-23 16:01
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +24,479 $16,890 82¢ $20.0K +$3,060 08-19 08:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +16,200 $14,300 98¢ $15.9K +$1,600 08-19 08:24
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +13,830 $12,962 96¢ $13.3K +$363 09-18 06:25
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -11,946 -$11,453 96¢ $-11510 -$57 09-28 13:58
will prabowo subianto cease to be president of indonesia by december 31 2026 No +7,221 $6,663 95¢ $6.8K +$175 10-07 17:58
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +4,731 $4,375 97¢ $4.6K +$228 09-30 18:48
Trump out as President before 2027? No +4,600 $4,227 96¢ $4.4K +$184 07-02 05:49
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +2,585 $2,419 97¢ $2.5K +$78 10-07 17:19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,913 $1,860 98¢ $1.9K +$16 09-30 12:17
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +182 $164 91¢ $166 +$2 07-05 18:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +45 $38 94¢ $42 +$4 05-03 03:07
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +36 $31 94¢ $33 +$3 05-01 18:08
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? No +8 $8 97¢ $8 +$0 05-17 14:36
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +0 -$161 94¢ $0 +$161 09-08 01:30
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -0 -$368 96¢ $-0 +$368 08-19 08:19