Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

0.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$90.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.16K

Open exposure

$58

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-30 07:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

100% 73% -$1

Other

0% 62% -$5

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	-25	-$24	98¢	$-24	$0	06-30 07:35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-21	-$20	98¢	$-21	-$1	06-30 07:36
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	-13	-$12	98¢	$-13	-$1	06-30 07:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel nuke iran by january 31	46	$90.0K	43,539	47,002	-3,462	No	-$8	01-17 08:21
will the us next strike iran on january 16 2026 et 766	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-17 08:31
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	01-17 08:30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$37	19	19	+0	Yes	-$1	02-09 08:02
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	1	$24	0	25	-25	open	—	06-30 07:35
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	$0	02-15 07:00
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	01-11 07:49
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$20	14	14	+0	No	-$4	03-14 03:31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	1	$20	0	20	-20	No	$0	06-30 07:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$20	0	21	-21	open	—	06-30 07:36
will the us next strike iran on january 17 2026 et 219	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-17 08:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$17	18	0	+18	No	+$1	04-26 19:20
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$17	20	0	+20	No	+$3	03-03 16:15
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$17	19	0	+19	No	+$2	03-01 05:30
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$15	13	13	+0	No	-$9	02-09 08:02
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	1	$15	0	15	-15	No	$0	06-30 07:36
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	01-10 07:48
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	02-02 06:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$13	14	0	+14	No	+$1	02-02 06:54
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$12	0	13	-13	open	—	06-30 07:36
us forces enter iran by january 31	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	01-13 10:51
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$11	13	0	+13	No	+$2	01-07 18:57
us government funding lapse on january 31	1	$11	12	0	+12	Yes	+$1	01-26 12:13
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	01-07 19:44
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-05 15:33
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-11 16:36
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	01-20 16:19
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	01-11 17:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 07:36:28	StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x5116bc…
06-30 07:36:22	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x574a48…
06-30 07:36:14	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbd0206…
06-30 07:36:08	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0xf505a1…
06-30 07:35:53	StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xfe84a5…
04-26 19:20:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xec7468…
03-14 03:31:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0xe87c1e…
03-03 16:15:35	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x270a9a…
03-01 05:30:37	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0xe92d59…
02-27 17:21:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x5f4274…
02-15 07:00:43	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xf8a1b8…
02-09 08:02:45	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0xb3a20c…
02-09 08:02:33	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0x28df2f…
02-03 13:04:56	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x1ec74f…
02-03 12:56:50	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x2280ef…
02-02 06:54:36	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	14	89¢	$13	0xf098dd…
02-02 06:08:58	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x70d447…
01-31 15:24:28	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x47c87f…
01-26 12:13:39	us government funding lapse on january 31	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x530f3a…
01-20 16:19:22	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x92475f…
01-17 08:31:30	will the us next strike iran on january 17 2026 et 219	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x10a143…
01-17 08:31:08	will the us next strike iran on january 16 2026 et 766	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x41dc00…
01-17 08:30:18	us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x67fa8a…
01-17 08:21:38	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	7,099	99¢	$7,056	0x376688…
01-17 08:18:16	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9db7fc…
01-17 08:18:14	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	900	100¢	$896	0x8bbb02…
01-16 21:15:16	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$996	0x2f0078…
01-16 21:14:14	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,985	0xef6319…
01-16 16:12:12	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,985	0xd906f7…
01-16 16:11:54	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	4,000	100¢	$3,980	0x696d68…
01-16 16:11:24	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0xfe8c57…
01-16 16:10:42	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,985	0x3cea2e…
01-16 16:10:26	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,985	0xe225c3…
01-16 15:16:50	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x55bfae…
01-16 15:10:04	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,985	0xc721df…
01-16 14:41:12	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x1bf477…
01-16 14:36:38	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	604	99¢	$600	0x54d245…
01-16 14:32:06	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	164	99¢	$163	0x1ba8eb…
01-16 13:55:02	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x102cc6…
01-16 13:12:38	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	2,081	99¢	$2,068	0xbebafa…
01-16 13:11:38	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,982	0xe49084…
01-16 13:11:26	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	4,000	99¢	$3,976	0x6fce24…
01-16 09:00:18	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,988	0x6c74c6…
01-16 07:54:02	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,988	0xfd9105…
01-16 07:51:30	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,982	0xeb1ec5…
01-16 07:51:22	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,982	0x9b4f31…
01-16 07:38:14	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	71	99¢	$71	0xd9691a…
01-16 07:31:42	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe4c796…
01-16 07:31:14	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xeb6112…
01-16 06:56:54	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xca168b…
01-16 06:34:16	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xccc42b…
01-16 05:37:34	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1,870	99¢	$1,859	0xe6c983…
01-16 05:36:00	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	870	99¢	$865	0x694386…
01-16 05:35:50	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1,870	99¢	$1,859	0xdbf6e0…
01-16 05:33:04	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,988	0x63d78e…
01-16 05:32:26	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$994	0x242369…
01-16 05:32:08	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,982	0x2d5105…
01-16 05:29:16	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	2,200	99¢	$2,187	0x87d833…
01-16 05:29:06	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	2,800	99¢	$2,783	0x23bdbe…
01-16 05:08:20	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x321686…
01-16 05:06:12	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	2,750	99¢	$2,733	0x6a644a…
01-16 04:59:06	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	575	99¢	$572	0xc6f2bc…
01-16 04:35:38	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	5,425	99¢	$5,392	0x70fd4e…
01-15 15:34:42	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$993	0x3bf56d…
01-15 15:11:50	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	3,753	99¢	$3,731	0xad8dbe…
01-15 15:07:08	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	247	99¢	$245	0x3bd6b2…
01-15 14:50:08	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	3,000	99¢	$2,982	0x3bfdab…
01-15 09:51:40	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	333	99¢	$331	0xbf63a4…
01-15 09:50:16	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	8,667	99¢	$8,606	0x29ab32…
01-13 10:51:15	us forces enter iran by january 31	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x0b5479…
01-11 17:44:32	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x92d17d…
01-11 16:36:12	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xad09a0…
01-11 07:49:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8c7fce…
01-10 07:48:54	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x3cdfa7…
01-07 19:44:09	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xeb1861…
01-07 18:57:53	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x70e9d8…
01-07 17:22:13	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x009ac6…
01-05 15:33:33	US strike on Cuba by January 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x58db9b…