Humiliating-Patina — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$868

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 08-06 08:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Sports

91% 75% +$877

Politics

5% 87% +$0

Other

4% 79% -$9

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba dal mem 2026 03 12	1	$1.7K	2,540	0	+2,540	Mavericks	+$889	03-12 17:32
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	10	$56	28,010	28,010	+0	No	+$0	06-09 13:49
will team 43 win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$12	12,070	0	+12,070	No	-$12	03-19 19:51
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	1	$9	23	0	+23	No	-$9	06-29 23:08
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	08-06 08:10
will gta 6 cost 100	3	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	02-14 19:20
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	06-07 13:01
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	2	$3	1	1	+0	No	$0	08-06 08:10
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$3	1,430	1,430	+0	No	+$0	05-15 17:49
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 08:10
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	2	$3	1	1	+0	No	$0	06-29 23:06
will annual inflation increase by 2pt0 in march	2	$3	1	1	+0	No	$0	03-19 15:31
will manfred reyes villa win the 2026 cochabamba mayoral election 983	2	$3	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-19 15:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$3	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-19 15:32
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	2	$3	1	1	+0	No	+$0	06-29 23:07
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	2	$3	1	1	+0	No	+$0	08-06 08:10
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 08:10
will trump cut off trade with spain	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-19 15:32
will the us test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	03-19 15:32
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 08:11
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$0	03-19 15:33
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 08:11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-29 23:07
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 08:11
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	06-29 23:07
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	06-29 23:07
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	06-07 13:01
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-29 23:07
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	06-29 23:07
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-07 13:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 08:11:11	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x34cd12…
08-06 08:11:05	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x134e05…
08-06 08:11:00	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x590435…
08-06 08:10:54	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x81e035…
08-06 08:10:50	Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0ec1bc…
08-06 08:10:45	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x210381…
08-06 08:10:41	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x8dceda…
08-06 08:10:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x144bb4…
08-02 15:57:12	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa07f47…
08-02 15:56:41	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe8b13e…
08-02 15:56:24	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaa48d3…
07-11 16:35:35	will king abdullah ii sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950084	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf73fd3…
07-11 16:34:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf32403…
07-11 16:34:28	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdae7a1…
07-11 16:33:58	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5717ec…
07-11 16:33:37	Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x567b30…
07-11 16:32:19	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x44bccb…
07-11 16:30:10	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x75f5dc…
07-11 16:29:47	Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xda23dd…
06-29 23:08:02	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	23	41¢	$9	0x2c13ca…
06-29 23:07:34	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xce39be…
06-29 23:07:28	Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6e2d45…
06-29 23:07:22	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdc020e…
06-29 23:07:16	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa93692…
06-29 23:07:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfe9380…
06-29 23:07:04	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x299fef…
06-29 23:06:58	Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x200ff3…
06-22 16:46:19	Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1eed5c…
06-22 16:45:35	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x42f63e…
06-22 16:45:23	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6964d9…
06-22 16:45:01	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x32fdd7…
06-22 16:44:44	Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7dac49…
06-22 16:44:08	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2089a0…
06-22 16:43:50	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ba1a0…
06-22 16:43:16	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0c8f90…
06-09 13:49:54	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5,414	0¢	$5	0x96cea6…
06-09 13:49:43	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4,006	0¢	$4	0xaca6f5…
06-09 12:04:13	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9,420	0¢	$9	0x22cc92…
06-07 19:45:42	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xd12bda…
06-07 19:45:42	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7,312	0¢	$7	0x42d6f5…
06-07 19:43:27	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	478	0¢	$0	0xa6b349…
06-07 15:32:37	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9,790	0¢	$10	0x96aa94…
06-07 13:01:24	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2ffbf8…
06-07 13:01:16	Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x260d0e…
06-07 13:01:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6e33d0…
06-07 13:01:06	Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcf3b43…
05-20 18:20:12	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5fd7c4…
05-20 18:19:54	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbdab00…
05-20 18:19:30	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa40f4b…
05-20 18:18:51	Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x269145…
05-20 18:17:36	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa53612…
05-20 18:17:22	Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf455e1…
05-20 18:16:58	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfd94c7…
05-20 18:16:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa6a74f…
05-15 17:53:38	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	415	0¢	$0	0x9e6875…
05-15 17:49:54	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8,385	0¢	$8	0x372d5a…
05-15 17:49:35	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,077	0¢	$1	0xf681d5…
05-15 17:46:17	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	353	0¢	$0	0xa7d030…
05-15 09:37:11	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,430	0¢	$1	0x7ca169…
05-15 09:36:50	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8,800	0¢	$9	0x1ea0de…
03-19 19:51:49	will team 43 win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	12,070	0¢	$12	0xd7bea4…
03-19 15:33:25	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xca3480…
03-19 15:33:07	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xbb55f5…
03-19 15:32:49	will the us test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2f83a9…
03-19 15:32:23	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf28f5e…
03-19 15:32:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd639a5…
03-19 15:31:57	will annual inflation increase by 2pt0 in march	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8ee81f…
03-19 15:31:01	will manfred reyes villa win the 2026 cochabamba mayoral election 983	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0c4f17…
03-12 17:32:13	nba dal mem 2026 03 12	Mavericks	BUY	2,540	65¢	$1,651	0xaba572…
03-12 16:31:17	will manfred reyes villa win the 2026 cochabamba mayoral election 983	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x361c34…
03-12 16:30:57	will russia capture hryshyne by june 30 2026 484 168 415	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6fbe68…
03-12 16:30:31	will annual inflation increase by 2pt0 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x155920…
03-12 16:29:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1327f1…
03-12 16:28:03	will the us test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8fa694…
03-12 16:26:37	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf5dfd5…
03-12 16:25:11	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x276dac…
03-12 16:24:53	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9d8ad4…
03-12 16:23:57	will atltico madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x57af55…
02-14 19:21:39	ilhan omar town hall attack staged	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd4d63f…
02-14 19:21:01	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x46d37e…
02-14 19:20:47	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by february 28	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xed293c…
02-14 19:20:31	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x309a81…
02-14 19:19:11	judy shelton fed chair nomination odds 5 by feb 20	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xed0ee1…
02-14 19:18:17	Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4a16df…
02-14 19:17:55	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd2176d…
02-14 19:16:29	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc2336b…
01-25 21:19:08	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x38e882…
01-25 21:18:42	Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2188e0…
01-25 21:18:34	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd0e839…
01-25 21:16:06	will israel strike gaza on january 23 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb4f066…
01-25 21:15:56	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x482e01…
01-25 21:15:52	will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb004be…
01-25 21:15:46	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x90fdfd…
01-25 21:15:32	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x86c1e5…
01-25 21:15:28	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x047ca8…
01-25 21:15:16	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd894a1…