Realized P&L
-$1.12K
Unrealized P&L
+$29
Hit rate
70.9%
Resolved
1,855
Trades
22,625
lifetime
Volume
$69.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$83
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 11-01 12:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Other
61% 53% -$834
Politics
23% 65% -$164
Tech
6% 65% +$116
Crypto
5% 50% -$144
Sports
3% 40% -$121
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 786 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +65 $21 30¢ $20 -$1 10-30 05:55
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $8 8¢ $8 $0 11-01 11:07
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +85 $20 8¢ $7 -$13 10-20 00:46
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +55 $4 10¢ $6 +$2 10-29 17:55
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +70 $5 6¢ $4 -$1 10-30 22:01
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? No +4 $1 94¢ $4 +$2 08-31 04:01
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +3 -$13 97¢ $3 +$16 09-21 20:22
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +5 $1 68¢ $3 +$2 10-01 13:25
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +50 $4 6¢ $3 -$1 10-29 23:54
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 Yes +34 $3 8¢ $3 +$0 10-30 04:35
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $2 6¢ $2 +$1 11-01 10:16
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +105 $2 2¢ $2 $0 10-26 13:03
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +2 -$5 88¢ $2 +$7 09-30 09:02
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? Yes +24 $1 8¢ $2 +$1 11-01 08:23
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +53 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 10-30 07:30
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +65 $4 2¢ $1 -$2 10-15 06:15
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +20 $1 7¢ $1 +$0 10-30 05:59
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes +20 $1 7¢ $1 +$0 10-31 16:26
Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +20 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 10-30 22:49
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? Yes +12 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 10-31 08:12
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +24 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-28 20:53
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-30 15:19
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +60 -$6 1¢ $1 +$6 10-29 22:33
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +4 -$1 19¢ $1 +$1 10-02 01:15
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +45 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-15 06:12
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +10 $0 5¢ $1 +$1 11-01 12:01
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +30 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-03 21:46
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 Yes +4 -$1 9¢ $0 +$2 11-01 04:06
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 10-31 21:04
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? Yes +5 -$8 6¢ $0 +$8 10-05 17:35