Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.46K
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
68.8%
Resolved (90d)
1,680
Trades (90d)
20,226
20,809 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$60.9K
$62.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$84
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 10-31 10:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Other
61% 51% -$1,046
Politics
23% 65% -$193
Tech
6% 63% +$46
Crypto
5% 49% -$146
Sports
3% 40% -$121
Pop-Culture
1% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 786 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +65 $21 28¢ $18 -$2 10-30 05:55
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +85 $20 9¢ $8 -$13 10-20 00:46
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +55 $4 12¢ $7 +$3 10-29 17:55
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +70 $5 8¢ $6 +$1 10-30 22:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +50 $5 10¢ $5 +$0 10-31 07:51
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? No +4 $1 93¢ $4 +$2 08-31 04:01
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +3 -$13 98¢ $3 +$16 09-21 20:22
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +5 $1 72¢ $3 +$2 10-01 13:25
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +50 $4 6¢ $3 -$1 10-29 23:54
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 Yes +34 $3 8¢ $3 +$0 10-30 04:35
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +105 $2 2¢ $2 $0 10-26 13:03
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +5 $1 44¢ $2 +$1 10-21 18:52
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +40 $1 5¢ $2 +$1 10-30 23:11
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +60 -$6 3¢ $2 +$7 10-29 22:33
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +53 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 10-30 07:30
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +2 -$5 82¢ $2 +$7 09-30 09:02
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? No +155 $20 1¢ $2 -$18 10-30 21:37
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +20 $1 8¢ $2 +$0 10-30 05:59
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +65 $4 2¢ $1 -$2 10-15 06:15
Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +20 $1 7¢ $1 +$0 10-30 22:49
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 10-30 11:59
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? Yes +12 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 10-31 08:12
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +4 -$1 22¢ $1 +$2 10-02 01:15
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +24 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-28 20:53
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-30 15:19
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 7¢ $1 +$0 10-30 08:23
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +45 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-15 06:12
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +30 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-03 21:46
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? Yes +5 -$8 7¢ $0 +$8 10-05 17:35
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? Yes +5 $0 7¢ $0 +$0 10-21 01:21