(anonymous) 0x4e84ce…4bef69
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.73K
Unrealized P&L
+$399
Hit rate
45.1%
Resolved
273
Trades
57,263
lifetime
Volume
$818.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$6.50K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 01:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Politics
79% 50% -$7,322
Other
19% 62% +$3,948
Tech
2% 33% -$358
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 447 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +479 $440 94¢ $453 +$12 10-24 05:18
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +494 $398 90¢ $442 +$44 10-08 13:27
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +592 $398 74¢ $441 +$43 09-09 00:45
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +462 $330 86¢ $395 +$65 10-24 20:26
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +400 $366 90¢ $362 -$4 10-26 17:54
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +334 $130 98¢ $327 +$197 10-26 17:41
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +328 $262 94¢ $310 +$48 10-26 19:16
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +324 $156 96¢ $309 +$153 10-26 14:41
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +381 $274 78¢ $295 +$21 10-27 00:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +566 $276 50¢ $286 +$10 10-26 01:38
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +723 $280 36¢ $264 -$16 10-22 18:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +679 $302 34¢ $234 -$68 10-26 08:02
next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026 No +557 $208 40¢ $220 +$12 10-26 18:18
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +1,486 $251 12¢ $171 -$80 10-26 23:38
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +172 $148 96¢ $164 +$16 09-08 20:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +331 $156 48¢ $157 +$1 10-21 15:26
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026 Yes +478 $118 32¢ $155 +$38 10-26 22:39
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -1,031 -$165 15¢ $-150 +$15 08-09 18:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +181 $60 76¢ $138 +$79 10-26 18:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -146 -$119 94¢ $-138 -$19 07-24 07:38
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +409 $335 32¢ $131 -$204 10-26 01:47
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +134 $115 88¢ $118 +$3 10-16 09:41
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +130 $106 90¢ $118 +$12 10-27 02:53
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +116 $102 98¢ $114 +$12 09-28 09:01
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,069 $90 11¢ $112 +$23 09-07 02:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +126 $109 86¢ $109 +$0 10-24 13:54
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +109 $102 99¢ $108 +$6 10-23 22:33
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -177 -$153 58¢ $-104 +$50 08-21 09:53
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes +310 $40 30¢ $91 +$51 10-03 04:50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +1,183 $210 8¢ $89 -$121 10-26 13:22