Realized P&L
-$1.45K
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
8.7%
Resolved
6
Trades
42,089
lifetime
Volume
$562.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$2.76K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 01:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
83% 40% $-1,411
Other
17% 0% $-39
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 305 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +7,742 $828 12¢ $890 +$63 07-19 09:04
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -1,788 $-316 24¢ $-420 $-104 07-19 13:50
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +294 $250 88¢ $261 +$10 07-19 09:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -264 $-220 86¢ $-228 $-8 07-09 01:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -1,744 $-178 11¢ $-183 $-5 07-17 17:57
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +955 $142 16¢ $158 +$15 07-17 23:46
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -253 $-129 58¢ $-147 $-18 07-21 05:25
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -118 $-95 84¢ $-98 $-4 07-05 20:10
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +104 $95 90¢ $94 $-2 07-16 23:26
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -858 $-68 $-64 +$4 07-02 19:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -461 $-78 14¢ $-62 +$16 07-09 17:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -787 $-42 $-51 $-9 07-03 20:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +49 $40 90¢ $44 +$4 06-10 22:07
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -57 $-48 42¢ $-24 +$24 07-20 01:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +31 $16 76¢ $24 +$8 07-13 18:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -12 $-11 94¢ $-11 $-0 06-16 13:05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +57 $2 $2 +$0 07-04 00:25