Realized P&L
-$1.45K
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
8.7%
Resolved
6
Trades
41,726
lifetime
Volume
$557.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$1.98K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 00:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
83% 40% $-1,411
Other
17% 0% $-39
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 1145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -726 $-704 100¢ $-725 $-21 06-11 19:30
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -573 $-571 100¢ $-573 $-2 06-10 16:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +174 $151 100¢ $173 +$23 06-11 12:22
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -149 $-148 100¢ $-149 $-1 06-10 13:30
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +631 $111 17¢ $107 $-3 06-30 13:46
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +917 $60 $60 $-0 06-29 12:17
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +63 $49 86¢ $54 +$4 06-30 20:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +49 $40 90¢ $44 +$4 06-10 22:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -223 $-40 10¢ $-21 +$19 06-10 22:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +125 $20 16¢ $21 +$1 06-14 21:47
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -24 $-20 84¢ $-20 +$0 06-14 21:47
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -12 $-11 94¢ $-11 $-0 06-16 13:05
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -12 $-12 83¢ $-10 +$2 06-30 19:39
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +591 $13 $5 $-8 06-30 11:40
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Yes +2,845 $20 $3 $-17 06-10 13:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -851 $-3 $-1 +$2 07-01 00:16
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +3 $-13 15¢ $0 +$14 06-30 20:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +411 $16 $0 $-16 06-01 12:42
Trump out as President by June 30? Yes +111 $1 $0 $-1 06-06 16:32