Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
322
lifetime
Volume
$1.21K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$59
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-20 12:59
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
32%
Crypto
29%
Other
28%
Sports
11%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10 $9 86¢ $9 $-0 06-23 10:30
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +14 $4 42¢ $6 +$1 07-10 06:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-23 10:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +8 $5 64¢ $5 +$0 07-10 08:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$0 07-10 08:14
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +6 $4 84¢ $5 +$0 06-17 12:25
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +6 $4 76¢ $5 +$0 06-20 00:05
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-20 18:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 70¢ $3 $-1 06-02 06:56
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +50 $5 $3 $-2 06-18 18:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -6 $-5 52¢ $-3 +$2 06-16 01:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 06-29 23:57
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $2 52¢ $2 $-0 07-10 06:04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $1 $1 $-0 07-18 13:24
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -0 $0 36¢ $-0 $-0 07-20 00:11