Plastic-Sandal 0xfc7047…6e69bc
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Realized P&L
+$64
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
64.1%
Resolved
494
Trades
814
lifetime
Volume
$1.01K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$42
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 13:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 172 days
Categories
Other
50% 63% +$34
Politics
28% 58% +$40
Sports
22% 59% -$11
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +57 $6 11¢ $6 +$0 09-22 14:38
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -5 -$4 94¢ $-5 -$1 05-29 00:23
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +22 $3 16¢ $3 +$0 08-18 15:06
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +131 $3 2¢ $2 -$1 08-18 11:13
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +6 $2 34¢ $2 $0 05-15 23:05
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +8 $4 18¢ $1 -$3 07-10 13:53
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $1 26¢ $1 +$0 10-20 13:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 05-29 00:24
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2 $1 60¢ $1 +$0 08-18 12:37
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 05-08 20:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 06-20 12:21
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 10-20 13:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +4 $1 26¢ $1 +$0 09-15 23:29
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 09-23 17:52
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 05-20 19:42
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +6 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 09-30 13:16
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 36¢ $1 +$0 10-16 09:25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 08-18 12:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 10-20 14:13
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 70¢ $1 $0 10-29 13:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +2 $1 48¢ $1 $0 10-20 14:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 10-20 14:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +2 $1 48¢ $1 $0 10-20 14:15
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +15 $1 5¢ $1 $0 07-20 19:20
Blue wave in 2026? No +6 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 06-04 11:49
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +33 $1 2¢ $1 $0 07-31 12:19
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +2 $1 36¢ $1 $0 06-01 12:37
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +2 $1 30¢ $1 $0 09-11 19:20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 29¢ $1 $0 06-01 12:34
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -2 -$1 8¢ $-0 +$1 05-12 12:11