Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
27.3%
Resolved
6
Trades
521
lifetime
Volume
$674
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$22
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 20:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
52%
Politics
32%
Sports
16% 50% $-3
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +47 $5 10¢ $5 $-0 06-20 16:49
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -5 $-4 86¢ $-4 $-1 05-29 00:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +8 $2 30¢ $2 +$0 06-11 12:33
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +5 $2 35¢ $2 $-0 07-10 13:53
Blue wave in 2026? No +6 $2 25¢ $2 $-0 06-04 11:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 00:24
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +2 $2 45¢ $1 $-1 07-07 16:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 +$0 06-20 12:21
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -1 $-1 84¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 00:23
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 07-02 12:52
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +2 $1 56¢ $1 $-0 06-01 12:37
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +2 $1 30¢ $1 $-0 06-05 16:48