Realized P&L
+$31
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
74.5%
Resolved
6
Trades
101
lifetime
Volume
$876
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$61
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 06-10 22:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
58% 50% +$41
Sports
23% 50% $-10
Other
18%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +393 $53 13¢ $50 $-3 06-07 21:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +23 $5 34¢ $8 +$3 05-27 21:49
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -18 $-4 16¢ $-3 +$1 05-28 23:11
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 11¢ $1 $-1 05-28 23:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes +53 $1 $0 $-1 06-01 20:48