(anonymous) 0xd10a59…3fb9cd Create alert
whale bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$66
Unrealized P&L
-$130
Hit rate
75.3%
Resolved (30d)
473
Trades (30d)
1,581
20,436 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$30.0K
$109.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$519
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 11-05 02:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Other
63% 62% -$320
Politics
19% 64% -$44
Crypto
8% 59% -$22
Tech
5% 68% -$80
Sports
5% 55% -$10
Pop-Culture
0% 50% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 442 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +150 $111 75¢ $112 +$1 11-05 02:33
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027? Yes +100 $85 82¢ $82 -$2 10-31 20:49
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +63 $53 88¢ $56 +$2 11-03 12:45
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +100 $78 46¢ $46 -$32 10-26 18:03
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +100 $78 46¢ $46 -$32 10-28 22:51
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +200 $48 15¢ $30 -$18 10-27 23:59
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +50 $36 56¢ $28 -$8 10-31 01:13
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +100 $28 21¢ $21 -$7 10-28 09:36
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? Yes +50 $27 28¢ $14 -$13 10-30 00:44
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? No +50 $21 28¢ $14 -$7 10-29 23:52
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027? Yes +100 $40 11¢ $11 -$29 10-15 03:15
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +9 -$3 64¢ $5 +$9 11-05 00:00
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +5 $4 93¢ $5 +$0 08-15 08:27
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 95¢ $5 +$2 08-21 14:15
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +50 $13 9¢ $4 -$8 10-26 12:31
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +4 $3 100¢ $4 +$1 08-17 22:49
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 89¢ $4 $0 07-31 18:01
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 70¢ $4 +$3 10-31 07:14
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No +4 $3 86¢ $3 +$0 08-23 00:26
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 07-13 06:25
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +3 $2 88¢ $3 +$1 07-21 05:42
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes -50 -$5 6¢ $-3 +$2 10-13 05:53
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3 $2 89¢ $3 +$1 07-12 21:05
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$1 07-14 15:19
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$1 08-09 23:22
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 08-22 08:13
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +3 $1 71¢ $2 +$1 08-08 12:31
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +2 $1 90¢ $2 +$0 07-08 15:15
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 92¢ $2 +$1 10-09 00:54
will ursula von der leyen visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126046 Yes +3 $2 50¢ $2 $0 08-02 03:01