Aged-Self — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$170

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,527

lifetime

Volume

$680.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$269

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 08-12 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% 67% +$171

Politics

35% 0% $-0

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	75	$88.9K	47,044	47,444	-400	open	—	06-27 20:44
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	74	$36.8K	24,175	24,175	+0	open	—	07-04 10:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	74	$35.8K	19,349	19,235	+114	open	—	05-07 22:04
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	92	$34.1K	19,141	18,603	+538	open	—	06-01 04:02
us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	9	$23.4K	13,250	13,250	+0	open	—	08-10 17:38
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	12	$22.9K	13,395	13,395	+0	open	—	07-30 09:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	11	$20.1K	13,333	13,333	+0	open	—	07-31 17:01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	43	$18.6K	16,841	16,841	+0	open	—	03-10 14:26
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	37	$18.4K	10,137	10,137	+0	open	—	07-11 03:39
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	25	$17.5K	10,002	10,002	+0	open	—	07-01 14:05
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	56	$15.9K	18,820	2,914	+15,906	open	—	08-12 19:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	33	$14.2K	8,083	7,921	+162	open	—	05-11 22:37
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	15	$13.3K	6,969	6,969	+0	open	—	07-01 17:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	46	$12.7K	7,553	7,853	-300	open	—	05-16 09:14
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	11	$12.1K	6,452	6,452	+0	open	—	07-30 06:48
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	35	$11.9K	6,988	6,988	+0	open	—	08-01 09:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	47	$11.7K	6,612	6,612	+0	open	—	04-23 13:12
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	72	$11.0K	6,160	5,892	+268	open	—	04-17 15:30
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	50	$9.9K	12,833	3	+12,831	open	—	08-11 09:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	28	$8.8K	4,795	4,795	+0	open	—	06-12 17:19
us charges hormuz fees by july 31 2026 20260713151243233	5	$8.4K	4,543	4,543	+0	open	—	07-14 22:12
us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	9	$8.1K	4,700	4,700	+0	open	—	07-15 22:04
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	24	$7.7K	9,078	5,481	+3,597	open	—	07-12 16:26
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts first half	9	$7.5K	3,962	3,962	+0	open	—	06-22 21:48
congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	6	$7.3K	3,762	3,762	+0	open	—	06-23 21:40
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts first half	22	$6.6K	3,515	3,515	+0	open	—	06-22 17:59
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	26	$6.1K	16,570	16,570	+0	open	—	02-28 09:22
starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929	12	$5.8K	3,255	3,254	+0	open	—	06-20 20:26
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	59	$5.7K	9,876	9,876	+0	open	—	06-19 02:50
will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	11	$5.7K	3,102	3,102	+0	open	—	06-29 19:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 19:58:13	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xd8c89b…
08-12 19:58:13	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	40	74¢	$29	0x7bf634…
08-12 19:58:06	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x2e448f…
08-12 19:31:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	174	77¢	$134	0x597e26…
08-12 17:14:00	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x5639a1…
08-12 17:10:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x7d700d…
08-12 17:03:00	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	301	74¢	$222	0xf8ba62…
08-12 10:56:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	45	81¢	$36	0xc5cd5f…
08-12 10:56:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	24	81¢	$20	0x602059…
08-12 10:56:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	34	81¢	$28	0x7fe2fa…
08-12 10:56:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x555863…
08-12 10:56:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	34	81¢	$28	0x00723c…
08-12 10:55:28	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	500	81¢	$405	0x73bb49…
08-12 10:53:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	621	81¢	$503	0x7559df…
08-12 10:53:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	750	81¢	$608	0x5ff442…
08-12 10:53:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0xc2ab13…
08-12 10:53:34	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	81¢	$0	0x423669…
08-12 10:53:31	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	69	81¢	$56	0xb50bad…
08-12 10:53:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	53	81¢	$43	0xa28aba…
08-12 10:53:28	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	594	80¢	$475	0xf3dbed…
08-12 10:53:28	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0xe222d9…
08-12 10:53:27	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	162	81¢	$131	0x3f9335…
08-12 10:52:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x9f3235…
08-12 10:52:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x4dda08…
08-12 10:52:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	80¢	$0	0xb736ad…
08-12 10:03:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	859	62¢	$532	0x3fafbb…
08-12 09:56:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x1cf6ce…
08-12 09:56:52	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	115	62¢	$71	0x9f92cf…
08-12 09:56:03	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	250	63¢	$158	0xb35d01…
08-12 09:48:13	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x5aa87d…
08-12 09:48:09	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0xd5e58a…
08-12 09:43:01	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	65	69¢	$45	0x36d771…
08-12 08:07:28	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3,325	69¢	$2,303	0x70ca4e…
08-12 01:45:25	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xeff7b7…
08-11 19:11:48	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,679	4¢	$74	0x62dc0a…
08-11 19:11:34	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	600	5¢	$28	0x81ad00…
08-11 18:24:19	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x569138…
08-11 15:30:48	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	1,077	71¢	$770	0x1e667f…
08-11 14:50:06	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	1,337	67¢	$898	0x27492b…
08-11 11:53:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	1,066	73¢	$781	0xb5d860…
08-11 11:53:22	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	610	71¢	$435	0xaaff52…
08-11 11:46:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2,319	71¢	$1,653	0xe6d583…
08-11 11:07:40	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	400	76¢	$304	0x085162…
08-11 11:05:06	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0xd94d7b…
08-11 11:02:13	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5,984	5¢	$283	0xfc6db1…
08-11 10:57:54	Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	410	16¢	$66	0xc850fb…
08-11 10:45:51	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xccdb0b…
08-11 10:24:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	16	78¢	$13	0xc5e22f…
08-11 10:19:28	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xef7890…
08-11 10:15:12	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x198517…
08-11 10:15:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb1d27d…
08-11 10:15:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xa71b0e…
08-11 10:15:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9d4558…
08-11 10:15:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x655d15…
08-11 10:15:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	33	79¢	$26	0x075d27…
08-11 10:08:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	402	94¢	$377	0x188707…
08-11 09:53:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0xa740ae…
08-11 09:52:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xa47c76…
08-11 09:52:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	225	77¢	$175	0x6200a9…
08-11 09:51:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	1,082	78¢	$849	0xaf8429…
08-11 09:51:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	780	76¢	$593	0x738365…
08-11 09:51:15	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3,669	75¢	$2,747	0xecd712…
08-11 09:07:24	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	41	78¢	$32	0xaea92d…
08-11 09:07:15	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x29326e…
08-11 08:30:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	43	94¢	$40	0xba86c6…
08-11 07:14:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	91	94¢	$85	0x925291…
08-10 17:38:07	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	SELL	950	94¢	$893	0x854855…
08-10 11:43:13	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	Yes	SELL	1,761	10¢	$176	0xc3ccf4…
08-10 11:34:24	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	68	92¢	$63	0x59dfad…
08-10 11:26:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xf586a0…
08-10 11:26:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	939	90¢	$844	0xfef399…
08-09 05:22:00	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	300	23¢	$69	0x2ef525…
08-08 14:37:52	will us crude oil reserves fall to 325m by may 1 20260714141931930	Yes	SELL	1,290	1¢	$14	0x43453e…
08-04 03:54:00	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	Yes	SELL	470	29¢	$136	0x864099…
08-03 18:02:50	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	Yes	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0xa58aab…
08-03 17:36:24	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	Yes	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x05ec8c…
08-02 14:16:30	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x179a1f…
08-02 12:52:08	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	950	87¢	$826	0xcf264a…
08-01 11:08:11	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	143	80¢	$114	0x466c14…
08-01 09:54:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	940	92¢	$865	0x9a0d59…
08-01 09:31:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	307	91¢	$280	0xc4e696…
08-01 09:20:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x946210…
08-01 08:25:09	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x163c3a…
08-01 08:17:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	503	91¢	$458	0xd581bd…
08-01 08:01:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa52020…
08-01 07:59:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0xf6b47d…
08-01 07:55:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	70	91¢	$64	0x4d7f3f…
08-01 07:47:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x25d9fa…
08-01 07:46:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	47	91¢	$43	0xdfca88…
08-01 07:43:30	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0xf9b077…
08-01 07:42:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	831	65¢	$540	0x69fcd8…
08-01 07:41:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	158	90¢	$142	0xb991ad…
08-01 07:41:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	469	90¢	$422	0x69cb20…
08-01 07:41:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2,508	90¢	$2,257	0x1c1b8c…
08-01 07:19:33	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	189	81¢	$153	0x7b754b…
08-01 02:19:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1e570a…
08-01 01:40:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x0181c8…
08-01 01:22:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	43	91¢	$39	0xa26c1a…
07-31 23:16:30	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xa13550…
07-31 21:06:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	831	67¢	$557	0x10e5e2…