Realized P&L
-$8.40K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.37K
Hit rate
72.5%
Resolved
123
Trades
2,080
lifetime
Volume
$499.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$240
Open exposure
$65.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-10
last 10-26 12:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Politics
60% 55% +$4,226
Other
37% 46% -$12,915
Sports
3% 45% +$291
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 180 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +26,794 $11,281 56¢ $14.9K +$3,590 09-26 21:54
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +15,280 $6,016 55¢ $8.5K +$2,457 10-03 10:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +5,000 $4,350 96¢ $4.8K +$450 10-21 01:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +5,000 $4,300 96¢ $4.8K +$500 10-21 16:50
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +4,973 $3,919 78¢ $3.9K -$15 10-19 02:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +8,200 $5,601 48¢ $3.9K -$1,706 10-18 12:33
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +4,500 $3,555 78¢ $3.5K -$22 10-21 16:41
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $3,275 68¢ $3.4K +$100 10-08 18:52
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +2,187 $1,367 78¢ $1.7K +$350 10-02 20:49
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2,500 $1,600 68¢ $1.7K +$88 10-08 18:52
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +2,600 $1,662 62¢ $1.6K -$63 10-23 08:34
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2,500 $1,405 61¢ $1.5K +$126 08-09 18:08
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +1,200 $996 98¢ $1.2K +$186 10-02 21:07
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +2,500 $1,075 44¢ $1.1K +$12 08-14 06:40
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +5,300 $1,499 20¢ $1.1K -$412 08-18 01:08
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,400 $1,032 42¢ $1.0K -$12 10-02 20:47
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +931 -$3,111 92¢ $852 +$3,963 10-04 13:37
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +17,787 $1,418 5¢ $827 -$591 09-19 13:27
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +37,484 $1,092 2¢ $825 -$268 08-17 19:13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +2,500 $675 26¢ $662 -$12 10-06 03:20
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +800 $544 82¢ $652 +$108 08-11 23:32
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +900 $774 72¢ $644 -$130 09-27 03:55
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +638 $504 64¢ $405 -$99 10-01 02:43
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,500 $418 15¢ $366 -$51 09-22 04:31
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +1,200 $492 30¢ $366 -$126 08-17 13:56
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $328 38¢ $300 -$28 10-02 21:20
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +800 $222 35¢ $276 +$55 10-07 13:32
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,500 $290 9¢ $234 -$56 09-22 04:20
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +8,200 $5,158 2¢ $123 -$5,035 10-18 00:19
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +126 $103 90¢ $114 +$11 09-01 19:10