Measly-Drummer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.16K

Unrealized P&L

+$255

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

Trades

12,428

lifetime

Volume

$1.27M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$6.22K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-03 00:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

62% 67% +$1,670

Crypto

20% 83% +$491

Sports

15% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	+4,277	$1,379	82¢	$3.5K	+$2,149	06-10 16:03
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	+6,070	$2,955	19¢	$1.2K	$-1,801	06-10 16:10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+780	$729	96¢	$746	+$17	06-01 04:23
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+758	$404	44¢	$337	$-67	07-03 00:25
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+109	$98	89¢	$97	$-1	07-02 02:46
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	+120	$97	80¢	$97	+$0	07-02 02:58
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+112	$64	65¢	$73	+$9	06-24 00:26
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+116	$72	57¢	$66	$-6	07-03 00:26
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	+3,332	$70	2¢	$65	$-5	06-17 19:40
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	+621	$99	10¢	$59	$-40	07-03 00:22
Betmoar FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	-0	$-0	93¢	$-0	$-0	06-10 04:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$94.4K	88,992	20,288	+68,703	open	—	06-03 00:17
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	455	$82.3K	82,530	64,876	+17,654	open	—	03-06 01:45
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	17	$51.4K	40,000	40,000	+0	open	—	03-19 07:48
cbb missr mia 2026 03 20	39	$43.2K	43,613	43,613	+0	open	—	03-20 13:42
cbb cabap kan 2026 03 20	35	$24.5K	13,648	13,648	+0	open	—	03-20 13:11
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28 spread home 6pt5	143	$24.3K	23,267	22,248	+1,019	open	—	03-28 08:31
cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21	23	$23.2K	13,238	13,238	+0	open	—	03-21 13:30
cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	118	$16.3K	18,470	18,470	+0	open	—	03-21 13:31
cbb tx byu 2026 03 19	14	$15.6K	14,047	14,047	+0	open	—	03-19 09:08
cbb iowa clmsn 2026 03 20	7	$14.4K	13,427	13,427	+0	open	—	03-20 12:01
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	22	$14.3K	14,633	13,844	+789	open	—	03-22 13:58
nba mil bkn 2026 04 07	361	$14.0K	19,819	8,000	+11,819	open	—	04-07 18:19
nba min orl 2026 04 08	285	$13.8K	19,074	16,874	+2,200	open	—	04-08 13:40
cbb niowa stjohn 2026 03 20	16	$12.6K	7,806	7,806	+0	open	—	03-20 08:46
nba nyk atl 2026 04 06	337	$12.3K	12,391	11,509	+882	open	—	04-06 13:51
cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22	108	$12.3K	18,168	18,167	+1	open	—	03-22 13:53
nba chi was 2026 04 07	17	$12.0K	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	04-07 12:38
nba ind bkn 2026 04 09	90	$11.1K	11,627	11,625	+2	open	—	04-09 11:10
cbb utahst arz 2026 03 22	79	$11.0K	12,436	4,652	+7,785	open	—	03-22 13:53
nba atl cle 2026 04 08	659	$11.0K	16,594	4,975	+11,619	open	—	04-08 14:31
cbb tx gnzg 2026 03 21	56	$10.3K	8,201	8,201	+0	open	—	03-21 13:15
cbb ucla uconn 2026 03 22	31	$10.1K	10,657	8,657	+2,000	open	—	03-22 13:52
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	97	$10.0K	8,063	7,589	+474	open	—	02-28 14:24
cbb hofst ala 2026 03 20	84	$9.3K	33,325	33,325	+0	open	—	03-20 10:18
cbb hpnt ark 2026 03 21	39	$9.1K	12,626	12,626	+0	open	—	03-22 03:38
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	88	$9.0K	14,006	13,413	+593	open	—	03-22 05:36
cbb hpnt ark 2026 03 21 spread home 10pt5	64	$8.7K	9,186	9,181	+4	open	—	03-21 13:42
cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	4	$8.5K	7,475	7,475	+0	open	—	03-19 09:34
cbb ucf ucla 2026 03 20	25	$8.3K	9,412	9,412	+0	open	—	03-21 01:17
cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21 spread home 12pt5	78	$8.1K	8,276	8,100	+177	open	—	03-21 09:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 00:26:47	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	94	62¢	$58	0xff3535…
07-03 00:25:44	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0x713345…
07-03 00:23:50	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	466	53¢	$249	0x3bf317…
07-03 00:23:22	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0x20ece0…
07-03 00:23:05	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$105	0x66eade…
07-03 00:22:55	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x7b8778…
07-03 00:22:41	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	581	16¢	$93	0x9b77d5…
07-02 02:58:32	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	120	80¢	$97	0x5e11d0…
07-02 02:46:34	Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	109	90¢	$98	0x554daa…
07-02 01:30:22	Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	15	83¢	$13	0x59ff54…
06-24 00:26:14	Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	112	57¢	$64	0x18b49c…
06-17 19:40:47	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,632	2¢	$55	0xd40085…
06-17 17:55:55	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	102	2¢	$2	0x8dda34…
06-17 17:28:28	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	226	2¢	$5	0xfa4c64…
06-17 17:08:31	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	215	2¢	$5	0x8a91e9…
06-17 16:38:02	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x658483…
06-17 16:36:23	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x05f473…
06-17 16:27:23	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xac11cc…
06-17 15:48:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x9e2e1b…
06-17 15:45:02	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0x56076b…
06-17 15:44:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x79c9ad…
06-17 15:39:38	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xe94111…
06-17 15:32:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0xd3a595…
06-17 15:27:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x1e3254…
06-17 14:11:52	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x45e870…
06-17 14:11:01	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xbab4d7…
06-17 13:44:37	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x2f1f30…
06-17 13:15:16	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x368324…
06-17 13:10:20	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	39	2¢	$1	0xd7cb44…
06-17 12:48:26	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xa74c31…
06-17 12:45:56	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0xd0a870…
06-17 12:44:50	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$2	0x21bd37…
06-17 12:41:58	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	286	2¢	$6	0x093bbf…
06-17 12:39:05	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x384f50…
06-17 12:36:46	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	238	2¢	$5	0xb2e593…
06-17 12:21:13	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0xbf09a6…
06-17 12:13:32	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xfef31d…
06-17 11:03:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xc93204…
06-17 11:03:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x7d7772…
06-17 11:03:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x63a44e…
06-17 11:03:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x48a89e…
06-17 10:30:50	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x7ce374…
06-17 10:21:02	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x72f176…
06-17 10:03:16	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x492b30…
06-17 10:00:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xb67039…
06-17 09:54:07	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x3fa15e…
06-17 09:40:55	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xf1d16e…
06-17 09:40:53	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xc36494…
06-17 09:40:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xf91a9e…
06-17 09:40:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xef47d7…
06-17 09:40:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x7d6c19…
06-17 09:40:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x41985c…
06-17 09:40:32	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x9bfe57…
06-17 09:39:05	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xdb49b1…
06-17 09:39:05	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x03881b…
06-17 09:39:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x78b707…
06-17 09:39:02	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xf1b44a…
06-17 09:39:02	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x59a681…
06-17 09:39:01	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x5f91c7…
06-17 09:38:59	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x92ec00…
06-17 09:38:58	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xcd1a97…
06-17 09:38:56	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x82d65b…
06-17 09:38:41	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xf7504b…
06-17 09:38:40	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x7e8839…
06-17 09:38:38	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xde2ab1…
06-17 09:38:38	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xa3ff1a…
06-17 09:38:38	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x43b661…
06-17 09:38:01	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x766700…
06-17 09:37:59	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x7fcb70…
06-17 09:37:59	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x79ba36…
06-17 09:37:47	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xcc02d2…
06-17 09:37:47	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xb2d61f…
06-17 09:37:47	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x5f015f…
06-17 09:37:47	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x508bdd…
06-17 09:30:13	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x5fd1a8…
06-17 09:30:01	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x462302…
06-17 09:21:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0x855f3f…
06-17 09:10:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x6b15da…
06-17 09:09:47	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xa93af1…
06-17 09:09:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x34b624…
06-17 09:09:26	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x83d21e…
06-17 09:05:38	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x016eda…
06-17 09:01:41	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x52d164…
06-17 08:52:53	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe89017…
06-17 08:41:28	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xdaa469…
06-17 08:41:14	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xd21499…
06-17 08:40:40	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xabf06a…
06-17 08:39:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xc2c453…
06-17 08:35:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xaebb13…
06-17 08:00:02	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xfe4427…
06-17 07:59:58	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x1f56ef…
06-17 07:59:53	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x45723e…
06-17 07:59:52	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x487625…
06-17 07:59:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x7c0df8…
06-17 07:44:40	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc7abdc…
06-17 07:39:02	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xf54b87…
06-17 07:38:01	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	39	2¢	$1	0x644ecf…
06-17 07:21:37	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xe80d4c…
06-17 07:21:35	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x48b27b…
06-17 07:21:20	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x3f7a4e…