Forthright-Critic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$350

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$19.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-17 07:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

77% 25% +$344

Other

14% 100% +$6

Crypto

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	16	$1.9K	1,187	1,187	+0	open	—	06-01 05:35
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	15	$1.7K	1,591	1,591	+0	open	—	04-15 13:34
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	10	$1.6K	1,062	1,062	+0	open	—	04-16 15:49
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	7	$1.1K	755	755	+0	open	—	06-14 18:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$1.1K	670	670	+0	open	—	06-14 18:03
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	3	$906	2,021	0	+2,021	open	—	06-14 18:06
will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	3	$642	405	405	+0	open	—	06-08 16:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	6	$632	715	267	+448	open	—	06-12 08:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$581	471	471	+0	Yes	+$361	05-09 06:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$573	1,760	1,760	+0	open	—	04-21 16:24
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	4	$474	303	296	+7	open	—	04-24 17:16
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$470	249	249	+0	open	—	06-08 16:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	8	$453	670	670	+0	open	—	05-15 10:03
iran closes its airspace by june 8	3	$380	228	228	+0	open	—	06-08 07:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$328	241	241	+0	open	—	05-20 17:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$295	275	275	+0	open	—	04-24 19:08
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$289	188	188	+0	open	—	06-07 19:23
btc updown 5m 1773681900	2	$277	182	179	+3	open	—	03-16 17:30
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	4	$274	237	237	+0	open	—	04-15 13:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$272	328	328	+0	open	—	04-25 16:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$262	142	142	+0	open	—	06-03 16:06
bitcoin above 72k on april 8	3	$260	172	168	+4	open	—	04-08 16:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$229	172	172	+0	Yes	$-2	03-23 09:43
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	2	$229	215	215	+0	open	—	03-23 21:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$226	132	132	+0	Yes	$-1	03-23 09:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$225	164	164	+0	open	—	05-23 07:01
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	2	$214	131	131	+0	Yes	+$6	04-23 14:43
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$212	265	265	+0	open	—	03-29 12:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$201	143	143	+0	open	—	04-10 16:06
will bitcoin dip to 68k march 16 22	2	$193	117	115	+1	open	—	03-22 21:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 07:25:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	779	0¢	$1	0xad8e47…
06-15 07:53:55	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,891	5¢	$103	0x8ec2e3…
06-14 18:06:48	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	345	55¢	$191	0xac5d0c…
06-14 18:06:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	227	84¢	$191	0x473524…
06-14 18:06:10	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	330	46¢	$152	0x1c6197…
06-14 18:06:00	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	191	80¢	$152	0x04f0f3…
06-14 18:04:16	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	1,346	42¢	$563	0x03eda0…
06-14 18:03:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	670	84¢	$563	0x42be4e…
06-12 08:50:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	129	68¢	$88	0xd7ffb2…
06-11 19:43:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	187	47¢	$88	0xe4eb62…
06-11 19:27:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	187	42¢	$78	0xe21675…
06-10 16:58:46	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	122	64¢	$78	0x21262e…
06-09 19:24:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	150	82¢	$123	0xe0d6c1…
06-09 19:22:40	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	176	70¢	$123	0x7c10af…
06-09 19:05:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	249	82¢	$204	0x2c5f5c…
06-09 17:02:15	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	163	73¢	$118	0xf93797…
06-09 13:45:54	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	370	78¢	$289	0x04f790…
06-08 21:04:39	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	104	73¢	$76	0x0df319…
06-08 18:52:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	270	16¢	$43	0xad9186…
06-08 17:16:09	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	385	78¢	$300	0xeeaf0f…
06-08 16:34:25	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	SELL	405	84¢	$342	0xc92930…
06-08 16:21:40	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x90df2b…
06-08 16:19:09	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x2866f6…
06-08 16:17:24	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	249	97¢	$241	0x5ae374…
06-08 10:13:45	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	205	78¢	$160	0x10f028…
06-08 07:03:28	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	228	100¢	$228	0x09768b…
06-07 19:24:00	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x0be2d8…
06-07 19:23:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	225	67¢	$150	0x5cd411…
06-07 19:23:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	188	81¢	$152	0x1c523b…
06-07 09:17:27	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	58	39¢	$23	0xcfc65f…
06-03 17:32:58	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	82	61¢	$50	0xd8ba6f…
06-03 16:08:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	188	73¢	$137	0xed61e2…
06-03 16:06:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	142	97¢	$137	0xd4cded…
06-03 13:23:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	130	81¢	$105	0xeb70f5…
06-01 07:34:45	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	249	92¢	$229	0x20ff6d…
06-01 05:47:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x3f50ca…
06-01 05:38:35	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xe77912…
06-01 05:36:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0x67c232…
06-01 05:35:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	881	100¢	$880	0xa0490b…
05-31 05:12:08	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x3cc3b0…
05-31 04:58:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	142	88¢	$125	0xa50979…
05-30 16:49:37	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x52c367…
05-29 16:08:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	81	63¢	$51	0x73a4f1…
05-26 11:51:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xfa1350…
05-23 18:07:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	107	54¢	$58	0x245a42…
05-23 17:24:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	143	67¢	$96	0x3888b1…
05-23 07:01:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	98	98¢	$96	0x2ed3bd…
05-21 08:36:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xdacace…
05-21 07:59:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x01a84d…
05-21 07:58:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0xabafb5…
05-20 17:23:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	167	93¢	$155	0x38be67…
05-20 16:59:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	61	94¢	$57	0x7b0096…
05-20 07:41:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	90¢	$51	0x70786b…
05-18 16:30:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8994b1…
05-18 16:29:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x321a3e…
05-17 21:37:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0x6e707a…
05-17 21:37:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	67	59¢	$39	0x6a68ec…
05-15 10:03:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	173	100¢	$172	0xdbd49d…
05-10 10:58:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x4a5e18…
05-10 09:31:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	173	87¢	$150	0x3a5e4d…
05-09 06:23:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	471	100¢	$471	0x41dd94…
05-08 18:42:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xcd71ac…
05-07 11:40:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	42	65¢	$27	0xefd6f5…
05-06 15:03:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	74	27¢	$20	0x1cce8e…
05-06 13:55:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	244	4¢	$10	0x87de56…
05-06 13:30:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	75¢	$51	0x7af022…
05-06 13:29:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	357	14¢	$51	0xead923…
05-06 11:31:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	74	35¢	$26	0x8a86e0…
05-06 10:08:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	17¢	$60	0x7976da…
05-06 10:07:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	124	70¢	$87	0x888eaf…
05-06 09:50:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xf24324…
05-06 09:26:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0x33856f…
05-06 09:14:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x8881ed…
05-06 08:47:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	46	5¢	$2	0xc20583…
05-05 12:06:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x267c64…
05-04 18:33:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	46	35¢	$16	0x07c1e8…
05-03 20:43:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xc05ac7…
05-03 09:59:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	73	82¢	$60	0x3c2755…
05-02 17:59:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xde4237…
05-02 17:56:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xf7bfe6…
04-25 16:33:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	328	15¢	$49	0x6d0af8…
04-24 19:11:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	328	68¢	$222	0xcc712c…
04-24 19:08:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	275	33¢	$92	0xa14718…
04-24 19:06:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x31b803…
04-24 17:16:38	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	SELL	247	94¢	$232	0x7e1d49…
04-24 08:17:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	275	74¢	$204	0x121dd4…
04-23 14:43:50	Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	Yes	SELL	131	84¢	$110	0x88a935…
04-21 18:02:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	29¢	$43	0x0ddd98…
04-21 16:57:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	28¢	$41	0x2b3c79…
04-21 16:56:14	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	SELL	37	86¢	$32	0x69ad1b…
04-21 16:55:50	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x9ddaeb…
04-21 16:27:44	Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	Yes	BUY	131	79¢	$104	0x80948b…
04-21 16:25:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	57¢	$104	0xd42a26…
04-21 16:24:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	58¢	$106	0xa011ba…
04-21 16:24:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	1,760	6¢	$106	0x4a64ea…
04-19 12:21:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,760	27¢	$467	0x368ed1…
04-17 16:21:50	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0x4e965e…
04-16 15:49:20	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	637	99¢	$629	0xd23a43…
04-15 13:34:48	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	81¢	$57	0xb26ea0…
04-15 13:34:38	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	55¢	$57	0x3f627a…