Muffled-Tonight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$145

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

264

lifetime

Volume

$8.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$468

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-15 04:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

52% — —

Other

36% 0% $-145

Sports

9% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+472	$470	99¢	$468	$-2	06-15 04:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 25 6am et	32	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	01-25 10:23
btc updown 4h 1769317200	1	$980	1,922	0	+1,922	open	—	01-25 03:15
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2	$840	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-23 07:20
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$780	630	158	+472	open	—	06-15 04:00
Gwangju: Alexis Galarneau vs August Holmgren	6	$559	542	542	+0	open	—	04-22 22:52
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	1	$300	500	0	+500	open	—	05-21 22:33
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	1	$295	590	0	+590	open	—	05-24 22:18
dota2 aur1 heroic 2026 04 23	2	$255	500	500	+0	open	—	04-23 03:08
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	3	$250	200	200	+0	open	—	06-02 05:38
nba was atl 2026 02 26	5	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-27 02:31
nba phi phx 2026 02 07	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	02-08 04:24
Burgos vs. Unicaja	1	$172	400	0	+400	open	—	05-14 14:03
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	1	$145	439	0	+439	Gen.G	$-145	05-05 13:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$128	200	200	+0	open	—	05-08 13:46
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	6	$122	150	110	+40	open	—	05-08 18:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	2	$121	100	100	+0	open	—	06-02 07:45
bun hei uni 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	1	$105	214	0	+214	open	—	04-11 04:01
lol jdg ig1 2026 04 24	2	$105	142	142	+0	open	—	04-23 12:48
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	2	$59	50	50	+0	open	—	05-08 14:04
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$44	49	49	+0	open	—	04-22 12:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	2	$39	100	100	+0	open	—	06-02 09:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	4	$39	40	40	+0	Yes	$-0	05-08 18:34
val xlg edg1 2026 06 15 game1	1	$39	88	0	+88	open	—	06-15 04:01
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	2	$36	50	50	+0	open	—	05-08 18:34
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers	2	$36	50	50	+0	open	—	04-22 20:33
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$32	29	29	+0	open	—	04-22 12:25
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-26 00:32
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in May?	2	$18	50	50	+0	open	—	05-08 14:51
will solana dip to 120 in january 2026	1	$16	30	0	+30	open	—	01-21 11:22
btc updown 15m 1769172300	5	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	01-23 12:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 04:01:54	val xlg edg1 2026 06 15 game1	XLG Gaming	BUY	88	44¢	$39	0x094189…
06-15 04:00:39	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	158	98¢	$155	0xe9d7df…
06-03 04:04:01	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	630	99¢	$625	0x5d598a…
06-02 09:07:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x01fdf7…
06-02 09:07:24	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xa5a42f…
06-02 07:45:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x1a21e9…
06-02 07:45:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xd662bc…
06-02 05:38:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	SELL	160	62¢	$99	0xfc691f…
06-02 05:38:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x38036b…
06-02 05:38:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x92f56a…
05-24 22:18:07	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	590	50¢	$295	0x204bcc…
05-21 22:33:47	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Tundra Esports	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xebe3de…
05-14 14:03:14	Burgos vs. Unicaja	Burgos	BUY	400	43¢	$172	0xa4f86d…
05-08 18:34:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xbf7c55…
05-08 18:34:42	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x7d0485…
05-08 18:34:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0x4f06b6…
05-08 18:05:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0x55cc64…
05-08 18:03:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x58c328…
05-08 18:02:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x9db3c8…
05-08 18:01:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x4482e5…
05-08 16:42:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x00318a…
05-08 15:46:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x3e4a95…
05-08 15:22:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x2f73eb…
05-08 15:01:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x226c01…
05-08 14:51:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x87c4d2…
05-08 14:40:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x164130…
05-08 14:35:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x2bd930…
05-08 14:35:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xc64193…
05-08 14:29:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x9d34a4…
05-08 14:29:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xd5c6f7…
05-08 14:04:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x431f67…
05-08 14:04:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x72e0d4…
05-08 13:46:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0x85fef0…
05-08 13:46:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0xc07b1f…
05-05 13:42:12	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	439	33¢	$145	0x97b044…
04-23 12:48:14	lol jdg ig1 2026 04 24	Invictus Gaming	SELL	142	37¢	$52	0x32d664…
04-23 11:15:46	lol jdg ig1 2026 04 24	Invictus Gaming	BUY	142	37¢	$52	0xfab0bc…
04-23 07:20:38	Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Daniel Altmaier	SELL	1,000	41¢	$410	0x20bfe9…
04-23 07:18:38	Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	1,000	43¢	$430	0x751f66…
04-23 03:08:10	dota2 aur1 heroic 2026 04 23	Heroic	SELL	500	25¢	$125	0xa98a94…
04-23 03:07:14	dota2 aur1 heroic 2026 04 23	Heroic	BUY	500	26¢	$130	0xf34972…
04-22 22:52:28	Gwangju: Alexis Galarneau vs August Holmgren	Alexis Galarneau	SELL	542	51¢	$277	0x30b5df…
04-22 22:47:22	Gwangju: Alexis Galarneau vs August Holmgren	Alexis Galarneau	BUY	417	52¢	$217	0x02b626…
04-22 22:46:30	Gwangju: Alexis Galarneau vs August Holmgren	Alexis Galarneau	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2e1f56…
04-22 22:42:10	Gwangju: Alexis Galarneau vs August Holmgren	Alexis Galarneau	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2eb6da…
04-22 22:19:30	Gwangju: Alexis Galarneau vs August Holmgren	Alexis Galarneau	BUY	104	52¢	$54	0x07f9fc…
04-22 22:16:52	Gwangju: Alexis Galarneau vs August Holmgren	Alexis Galarneau	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xb4ae73…
04-22 22:02:14	nba phx okc 2026 04 22 spread home 17pt5	Suns	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x76fd95…
04-22 22:01:40	nba phx okc 2026 04 22 spread home 17pt5	Suns	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x8b1199…
04-22 20:33:30	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0xf9a1e2…
04-22 17:18:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xfdc492…
04-22 12:25:50	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	29	41¢	$12	0xa370a8…
04-22 12:25:42	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	49	50¢	$24	0xae65da…
04-11 04:01:07	bun hei uni 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	214	49¢	$105	0x6dea23…
03-26 00:32:49	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbfc15a…
03-21 04:15:17	xrp updown 15m 1774067400	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x456f48…
03-21 04:14:51	xrp updown 15m 1774066500	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xa13980…
03-21 04:04:01	btc updown 15m 1774067400	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xeeab9f…
03-21 04:04:01	btc updown 15m 1774067400	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x42503c…
03-21 04:03:59	btc updown 15m 1774067400	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xcbd2fb…
03-21 04:02:29	btc updown 15m 1774066500	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd9bbaf…
03-21 04:01:25	btc updown 15m 1774067400	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x82629c…
03-21 04:00:17	xrp updown 15m 1774066500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0fb656…
03-21 03:59:57	xrp updown 15m 1774065600	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0378bd…
03-21 03:55:35	btc updown 15m 1774065600	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4341c1…
03-03 04:13:07	btc updown 5m 1772511300	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x305294…
03-03 04:13:01	btc updown 5m 1772511300	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeabbfe…
03-03 04:11:55	btc updown 5m 1772511000	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x243e3c…
03-03 04:11:11	btc updown 5m 1772511300	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xa065af…
03-03 04:10:05	eth updown 5m 1772511300	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf8e7d6…
03-03 04:10:05	eth updown 5m 1772511300	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x2ee7da…
03-03 04:10:03	eth updown 5m 1772511000	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xd26e31…
03-03 04:10:03	eth updown 5m 1772511000	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x3a95b1…
03-03 04:09:53	eth updown 5m 1772511000	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x246516…
03-03 04:06:55	eth updown 5m 1772511300	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb66c68…
02-27 02:35:14	bitcoin up or down february 26 10pm et	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdf149f…
02-27 02:31:30	nba was atl 2026 02 26	Hawks	BUY	177	100¢	$176	0xf5c5ca…
02-27 02:29:36	nba was atl 2026 02 26	Hawks	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbf021b…
02-27 02:29:32	nba was atl 2026 02 26	Hawks	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6f1d03…
02-27 02:29:12	nba was atl 2026 02 26	Hawks	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb7e3e9…
02-27 02:29:10	nba was atl 2026 02 26	Hawks	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8783d6…
02-08 04:25:59	btc updown 15m 1770525000	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x72a354…
02-08 04:24:33	nba phi phx 2026 02 07	76ers	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xdd2b20…
01-26 04:04:02	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xf7b473…
01-25 10:23:46	bitcoin up or down january 25 6am et	Up	BUY	2,551	50¢	$1,276	0x668565…
01-25 10:21:52	bitcoin up or down january 25 6am et	Up	BUY	37	50¢	$18	0xfb9854…
01-25 10:21:52	bitcoin up or down january 25 6am et	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xbf26d4…
01-25 10:21:36	bitcoin up or down january 25 6am et	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x632302…
01-25 10:21:30	bitcoin up or down january 25 6am et	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xf54097…
01-25 10:21:30	bitcoin up or down january 25 6am et	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xe4cf66…
01-25 10:21:06	bitcoin up or down january 25 6am et	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x0a192d…
01-25 10:20:56	bitcoin up or down january 25 6am et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xca4ae8…
01-25 10:20:56	bitcoin up or down january 25 6am et	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xb97e96…
01-25 10:20:44	bitcoin up or down january 25 6am et	Up	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0xeb3b6f…
01-25 10:20:42	bitcoin up or down january 25 6am et	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x3f4e5f…
01-25 10:20:40	bitcoin up or down january 25 6am et	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xfaf316…
01-25 10:20:40	bitcoin up or down january 25 6am et	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x3aea6a…
01-25 10:20:38	bitcoin up or down january 25 6am et	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xd5627b…
01-25 10:20:38	bitcoin up or down january 25 6am et	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc782c3…
01-25 10:20:34	bitcoin up or down january 25 6am et	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x2d5428…