Visible-Progress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

259

lifetime

Volume

$25.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

$891

1 position

First seen

2026-03-22

last 07-03 14:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

75% 100% +$12

Politics

9% — —

Tech

7% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+900	$893	99¢	$891	$-2	06-14 07:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$3.9K	3,245	3,245	+0	open	—	04-28 13:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	11	$3.6K	1,909	2,200	-291	open	—	05-04 17:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	28	$2.5K	1,403	1,403	+0	open	—	05-06 13:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-10 17:20
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$1.1K	1,000	100	+900	open	—	06-14 07:08
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5	11	$983	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-01 16:20
will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	9	$966	610	382	+228	open	—	07-03 14:45
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	3	$959	981	681	+300	open	—	05-08 16:42
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	26	$942	1,015	717	+298	open	—	06-13 05:13
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	2	$814	590	590	+0	Up	+$12	05-05 07:02
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	7	$807	1,400	1,800	-400	open	—	05-23 10:20
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	13	$781	705	459	+246	open	—	05-24 22:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$676	1,000	400	+600	open	—	05-12 12:53
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 3?	5	$487	300	267	+33	open	—	06-03 09:13
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	5	$455	300	300	+0	open	—	06-10 13:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	4	$423	238	439	-201	open	—	05-26 05:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$403	265	265	+0	open	—	04-24 20:49
will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	1	$385	500	0	+500	open	—	06-07 18:42
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	2	$296	200	200	+0	open	—	06-13 05:52
will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	3	$267	234	234	+0	open	—	06-11 09:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	2	$236	153	153	+0	open	—	06-03 10:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	05-10 16:53
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 26?	5	$193	207	207	+0	open	—	05-26 15:18
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$169	100	100	+0	open	—	05-27 17:54
bukayo saka 20260609175104685	3	$169	100	120	-20	open	—	06-12 21:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$166	0	200	-200	open	—	05-30 08:50
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	10	$166	128	128	+0	open	—	05-15 08:01
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 27?	5	$165	300	300	+0	open	—	05-27 12:00
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	1	$164	0	200	-200	open	—	05-27 13:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$156	800	400	+400	open	—	05-30 10:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 14:45:56	will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x541f04…
06-17 08:48:41	marcus rashford 20260609175104689	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xbb65f2…
06-17 08:43:52	marcus rashford 20260609175104689	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xe83642…
06-14 13:30:49	marcus rashford 20260609175104689	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xdaf205…
06-14 09:39:52	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x0559ed…
06-14 07:08:27	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xdf5820…
06-14 06:49:19	will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x6de72a…
06-13 21:08:10	will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x0c1e38…
06-13 10:05:07	will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0xbcf995…
06-13 08:53:55	jude bellingham 20260609175104688	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x747120…
06-13 05:52:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0x0a4089…
06-13 05:49:24	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x805307…
06-13 05:13:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	37	55¢	$21	0xbb328f…
06-13 05:13:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0x36be3f…
06-13 05:06:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x34249b…
06-13 05:05:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	19	55¢	$11	0x749843…
06-13 05:05:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	19	55¢	$10	0xb81458…
06-13 05:04:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	19	55¢	$11	0x2e544b…
06-13 05:03:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	19	55¢	$10	0x231cc4…
06-13 05:02:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x295188…
06-13 05:02:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xbddaf2…
06-13 05:00:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0xe14eed…
06-13 04:53:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	500	55¢	$275	0xb52a2f…
06-12 21:09:01	bukayo saka 20260609175104685	Yes	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x6de5cf…
06-12 20:17:22	bukayo saka 20260609175104685	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xa585c0…
06-12 19:49:57	bukayo saka 20260609175104685	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xc3a8b0…
06-12 18:30:48	antonio rudiger 20260609173253870	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x333090…
06-12 17:56:06	antonio rudiger 20260609173253870	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xacde59…
06-12 10:38:55	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	SELL	54	59¢	$32	0x42cebd…
06-12 10:15:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	201	54¢	$109	0x58393f…
06-12 09:57:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xac067d…
06-12 09:57:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	101	53¢	$53	0xe1a444…
06-12 09:42:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xf78a4b…
06-12 09:34:49	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	58¢	$0	0x2e2a8e…
06-12 09:32:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	77	53¢	$41	0xdfc89c…
06-12 09:31:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x94e06a…
06-12 09:31:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x55cd8c…
06-12 09:31:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xbea2e2…
06-12 09:31:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x086c41…
06-12 09:31:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x3b965b…
06-12 09:31:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xa4ddca…
06-12 09:30:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xe0741f…
06-12 09:27:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xaa9107…
06-12 09:16:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0xfa701e…
06-12 09:13:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xdcf372…
06-12 09:10:45	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x66eeda…
06-12 08:37:22	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x0be1f1…
06-11 17:31:06	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0xc8844c…
06-11 09:36:03	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	234	57¢	$133	0xba2182…
06-11 08:19:39	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x04193e…
06-11 08:09:18	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x42b619…
06-11 07:27:25	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	BUY	45	70¢	$31	0x59c546…
06-11 07:22:00	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4b4040…
06-10 13:33:13	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x2002f0…
06-10 13:23:16	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x7caa96…
06-10 12:12:57	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	92	72¢	$66	0xed7b7f…
06-10 12:01:31	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	108	71¢	$77	0xd99130…
06-10 06:57:22	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xb4bf48…
06-09 21:40:55	will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	118	98¢	$115	0x87f013…
06-09 15:36:04	will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	111	98¢	$108	0xc2bc58…
06-08 09:34:39	will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x2dee4f…
06-08 09:34:10	will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x87afa2…
06-08 09:33:22	will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	86	97¢	$84	0x264f59…
06-07 18:42:30	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	No	BUY	500	77¢	$385	0x6795a3…
06-07 14:52:27	will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x5f1709…
06-07 14:44:10	will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xaca99b…
06-06 13:24:54	will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	No	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0xa2de9f…
06-05 07:47:00	will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	No	BUY	400	97¢	$390	0x59f587…
06-05 07:46:31	will anthropic ipo by july 31 2026	No	BUY	210	97¢	$204	0x9d6b91…
06-03 16:29:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0xfac439…
06-03 16:28:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?	No	SELL	182	21¢	$38	0xa595d8…
06-03 11:29:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?	No	SELL	53	50¢	$26	0xa13672…
06-03 10:14:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	No	SELL	153	78¢	$119	0x180b58…
06-03 10:08:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?	No	BUY	153	76¢	$116	0x6abd9b…
06-03 09:13:03	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 3?	Yes	SELL	157	86¢	$135	0x60029e…
06-03 08:30:12	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 3?	Yes	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0x1df19a…
06-03 08:30:12	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 3?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x192d5a…
06-03 08:30:10	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 3?	Yes	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x1238bf…
06-03 07:21:01	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0xa52a73…
06-02 14:22:41	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in June?	No	BUY	51	58¢	$30	0xfb0779…
06-02 10:57:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8bcc39…
06-02 10:54:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?	No	BUY	177	47¢	$83	0x287837…
06-02 09:47:58	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	211	99¢	$209	0x24fc58…
06-02 09:36:20	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0xf9b5ec…
06-02 08:58:21	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	176	99¢	$174	0x9482cf…
06-01 19:14:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?	No	BUY	53	49¢	$26	0x4e4b2a…
06-01 18:05:22	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x22379c…
06-01 13:01:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xb809f3…
06-01 13:01:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x8c9e9f…
06-01 13:01:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x0dbe6a…
06-01 13:01:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x08c31b…
06-01 13:01:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x051d91…
06-01 09:59:41	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	No	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0xac6f89…
05-31 01:11:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	80	54¢	$43	0x30177d…
05-30 17:04:22	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x7cfd32…
05-30 17:03:35	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	41	85¢	$35	0xc1a8f1…
05-30 15:05:27	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	54	75¢	$41	0xd0481f…
05-30 10:37:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	13¢	$52	0xd1889e…
05-30 09:11:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	800	13¢	$104	0x627e60…
05-30 08:50:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	89	83¢	$74	0xb5f28e…