Unimportant-Custard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

Trades

198

lifetime

Volume

$3.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 09-06 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

55% 38% $0

Politics

20% 69% +$1

Crypto

17% 72% +$14

Tech

6% 33% $0

Sports

3% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	6	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	08-23 04:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	2	$76	41	41	+0	No	-$2	04-05 23:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$73	38	38	+0	No	$0	04-13 07:08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$73	37	37	+0	Yes	$0	04-15 10:14
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$73	36	36	+0	No	$0	04-15 10:14
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$73	36	36	+0	No	$0	04-15 10:15
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	2	$72	36	36	+0	No	$0	04-17 08:48
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$70	37	37	+0	open	—	04-29 09:02
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$68	36	36	+0	open	—	04-29 09:02
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	03-29 09:34
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	03-27 00:14
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	2	$66	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-20 11:30
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	07-30 07:54
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$1	07-20 09:54
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-22 04:23
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$63	32	32	+0	open	—	07-16 11:46
will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	08-20 15:04
trump out as president by march 31	2	$62	32	32	+0	No	+$0	03-11 05:36
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	09-03 07:00
will solana reach 160 in august 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	08-20 03:32
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$62	32	32	+0	No	$0	03-13 06:03
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$61	32	32	+0	No	$0	03-20 03:38
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	03-24 03:32
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	06-29 05:31
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	2	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-13 08:06
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997 185	3	$57	36	21	+15	No	+$0	07-08 03:05
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	08-02 12:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	04-29 09:00
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	4	$50	27	27	+0	open	—	07-06 02:02
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	2	$50	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-06 00:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 15:00:10	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5ff1d7…
09-06 14:59:34	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x2d3ac0…
09-06 14:59:30	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc416f5…
09-03 07:00:42	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x141ffe…
09-03 07:00:27	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe112e2…
09-03 07:00:10	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xb09ec4…
08-23 04:56:00	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x316183…
08-23 04:55:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xa089e0…
08-23 04:55:40	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x065378…
08-20 15:04:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa91e31…
08-20 15:04:33	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc8ea78…
08-20 15:04:09	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x0093d2…
08-20 03:33:15	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x69c7ae…
08-20 03:32:51	will solana reach 160 in august 2026	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x71ff4c…
08-20 01:02:43	will solana reach 160 in august 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x7f602e…
08-20 01:02:27	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x47f1a7…
08-20 01:02:22	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xcfdc71…
08-20 01:02:16	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x28f15a…
08-02 12:50:00	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xbc11b6…
08-02 12:49:18	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xde9fe8…
08-02 12:49:02	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf9b284…
08-02 12:48:33	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x918087…
08-02 12:48:27	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x1de5fa…
08-02 09:16:53	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x6c17d0…
08-02 09:16:30	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x88f022…
08-02 09:15:30	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x3cb4b6…
07-30 07:59:00	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x25ded2…
07-30 07:58:38	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x63854e…
07-30 07:57:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 07:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x406400…
07-30 07:56:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5f30d3…
07-30 07:54:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$33	0xd3fede…
07-22 04:24:16	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x70521c…
07-22 04:23:55	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x3759fd…
07-22 01:53:03	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x932cd2…
07-22 01:52:33	Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 NL Central title?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xdff71c…
07-22 01:52:25	Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd2c058…
07-20 11:31:33	Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 NL Central title?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2f9aa8…
07-20 11:31:06	Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xacc0c5…
07-20 11:30:39	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	34	95¢	$33	0xa4c216…
07-20 09:55:10	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x34a76f…
07-20 09:54:40	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x15a292…
07-16 11:47:08	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xf52a7c…
07-16 11:46:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xe77311…
07-16 11:46:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x766105…
07-16 11:46:04	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$31	0x0bb8d8…
07-12 10:10:40	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xc456c1…
07-12 10:10:20	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0xbbaeac…
07-10 00:58:50	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0x727726…
07-10 00:58:19	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x877beb…
07-10 00:58:07	Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x74c00b…
07-08 03:05:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997 185	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe73b87…
07-08 03:04:16	Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7f4fff…
07-08 03:03:52	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd6a6f5…
07-08 03:03:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997 185	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xdbfd8c…
07-06 02:03:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xe1a26d…
07-06 02:02:55	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb50519…
07-06 02:02:41	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xc50509…
06-29 05:32:34	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4af1c2…
06-29 05:32:14	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x11be93…
06-29 05:31:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x9e1e90…
06-28 10:54:34	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x0f7fcd…
06-28 10:54:05	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x331b2b…
06-28 10:53:44	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x1b7f8b…
06-26 02:13:11	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x929ada…
06-26 02:12:52	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xa50a0e…
06-26 02:12:10	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xec8de7…
06-26 02:12:04	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x874b89…
06-24 14:14:40	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x370144…
06-24 14:14:25	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x65923a…
06-24 14:14:08	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x60bbdb…
06-24 14:13:04	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xebf498…
06-22 08:07:05	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x5cb474…
06-22 08:06:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xc45636…
06-22 08:06:20	will wti reach 140 in june 2026 374	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb7d9d1…
06-22 04:54:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x401513…
06-22 04:54:25	will wti reach 140 in june 2026 374	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x349f98…
06-22 04:53:37	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc75f82…
06-10 01:32:00	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x0dc90b…
06-10 01:31:42	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x425bd4…
06-10 01:31:27	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0xfd5681…
06-10 01:31:22	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x471717…
05-20 07:49:53	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x286d6b…
05-20 07:49:05	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x370205…
05-20 07:48:32	Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb51809…
05-20 07:48:27	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc58e6a…
05-19 02:34:29	Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x7cb4d9…
05-19 02:34:13	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3a8785…
05-19 02:33:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x3c2c98…
05-19 02:33:29	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xe26fe3…
05-19 02:33:22	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x49f70c…
05-16 02:31:57	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xe5d75e…
05-16 02:31:40	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x307a1e…
05-16 02:31:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xaa4f02…
05-16 02:30:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x3353da…
05-16 02:30:33	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x1d4d69…
05-14 15:00:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0xef018b…
05-14 15:00:24	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x5b8930…
05-14 15:00:10	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4c5e77…
05-14 14:59:33	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x5587c0…
05-14 14:59:28	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x595254…