Svelte-Causal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

$529

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-16 13:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

61% 100% +$9

Crypto

39% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+303	$300	100¢	$302	+$2	07-15 08:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+225	$224	100¢	$224	+$0	09-30 16:06
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+2	$2	100¢	$2	$0	10-16 13:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 13:39:40	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x040403…
09-30 16:06:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	225	99¢	$224	0x556872…
08-09 13:06:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0xf7a458…
07-15 08:23:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xce2b11…
07-15 08:22:41	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x3e08ec…
06-30 09:16:40	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xdef15e…
05-22 07:04:37	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x596bca…
05-22 07:04:32	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0x408f45…
05-22 07:04:16	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd74c18…
05-22 07:03:13	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xde85ff…
04-30 16:19:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x1aa4f7…
04-30 16:19:24	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf313ed…
04-30 16:18:58	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x9ed302…
04-30 16:18:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x828b97…
02-28 11:45:19	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x09f0bc…
02-28 11:45:13	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xe638e5…
02-28 11:45:05	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x24d246…
02-28 11:44:57	Fabric FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x762c56…
01-31 17:04:24	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	493	99¢	$487	0x2ac33f…
01-31 17:04:10	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a73ca…
01-31 17:04:08	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97647f…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$487	493	+493	No	+$6	01-31 17:04
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$300	303	+303	open	—	07-15 08:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	1	$300	300	+300	No	+$0	04-30 16:19
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$270	270	+270	No	+$0	05-22 07:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$224	225	+225	open	—	09-30 16:06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$220	222	+222	No	+$2	08-09 13:06
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$200	200	+200	No	+$0	06-30 09:16
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	04-30 16:18
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	04-30 16:19
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	05-22 07:03
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	05-22 07:04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	07-15 08:23
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	01-31 17:04
will meituan have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	01-31 17:04
will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	1	$3	3	+3	No	+$0	02-28 11:45
will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	02-28 11:45
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	10-16 13:39
Fabric FDV above $600M one day after launch?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	02-28 11:44
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	05-22 07:04
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	04-30 16:18
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	02-28 11:45