Realized P&L
-$434
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
77.0%
Resolved
454
Trades
1,504
lifetime
Volume
$19.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$324
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-22 12:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Other
58% 60% -$371
Politics
33% 60% -$84
Sports
5% 78% +$110
Crypto
4% 57% -$90
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -80 -$70 98¢ $-79 -$9 05-18 13:04
Trump out as President before 2027? No -60 -$52 97¢ $-58 -$6 05-08 06:59
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -40 -$37 99¢ $-40 -$3 05-14 18:36
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +40 $38 99¢ $39 +$1 10-03 14:25
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -40 -$32 98¢ $-39 -$7 06-01 03:23
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +40 $36 92¢ $37 +$1 10-03 11:21
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -20 -$18 99¢ $-20 -$1 05-12 07:27
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -10 -$10 99¢ $-10 $0 05-04 14:11
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -100 -$7 2¢ $-2 +$5 08-15 13:46
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$14 3¢ $-1 +$14 05-23 06:07
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-16 03:42