Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.13K

Unrealized P&L

+$6.53K

Hit rate

3.3%

Resolved

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$145.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$449

Open exposure

$76.7K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-21 01:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

99% 0% -$1,322

Politics

1% 100% +$191

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+39,831	$32,193	96¢	$38.3K	+$6,065	10-21 01:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-19,491	-$18,789	98¢	$-19111	-$322	10-20 15:22
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	+15,849	$14,625	96¢	$15.2K	+$607	10-21 01:52
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	+4,190	$3,856	96¢	$4.0K	+$181	09-09 10:08
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+38	$36	96¢	$37	+$1	07-09 08:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	50	$52.6K	8,839	45,514	-36,675	No	-$1,013	03-01 10:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	67	$51.7K	50,031	10,200	+39,831	open	—	10-21 01:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	49	$18.8K	0	19,491	-19,491	open	—	10-20 15:22
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	109	$14.6K	15,849	0	+15,849	open	—	10-21 01:52
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	25	$3.9K	4,190	0	+4,190	open	—	09-09 10:08
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$1.3K	680	680	+0	No	+$14	02-26 18:14
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$1.2K	0	1,250	-1,250	No	-$18	05-18 07:30
will trump visit china by march 31	13	$584	342	542	-200	No	+$177	02-26 18:13
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$290	418	0	+418	Yes	-$290	01-18 07:59
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	2	$194	0	197	-197	No	-$2	05-18 07:29
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$36	38	0	+38	open	—	07-09 08:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 01:52:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	2,445	96¢	$2,345	0xdf44c6…
10-21 01:52:14	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	347	96¢	$333	0x3cf6cd…
10-20 15:22:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	385	98¢	$377	0x0d69e9…
10-20 15:00:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0x36f218…
10-20 14:00:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	125	98¢	$122	0xa40e82…
10-20 13:20:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x880cf5…
10-20 13:07:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0xef3576…
10-20 12:48:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x228b68…
10-20 12:45:08	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$59	0xbcda0a…
10-20 12:45:02	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$59	0x835b3e…
10-20 12:44:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x615498…
10-20 12:43:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$59	0xf72392…
10-20 12:43:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$59	0xc4240e…
10-20 12:43:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$59	0xb865c0…
10-20 12:41:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0xd34032…
10-20 12:41:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0xab1a87…
10-20 12:41:47	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0x78d647…
10-20 12:41:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0xee6038…
10-20 12:36:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xfa238a…
10-20 12:36:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0x5e847d…
10-20 12:36:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0x1ca34a…
10-20 12:35:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0x6e8294…
10-20 12:35:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0x2dfa0a…
10-20 12:35:32	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x57bf99…
10-20 12:28:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xe2f493…
10-20 12:24:08	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	134	98¢	$131	0xfb1b67…
10-20 10:25:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0x05f789…
10-20 10:21:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	96	98¢	$94	0xc60a95…
10-20 10:19:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	96	98¢	$94	0x33ecdc…
10-20 10:00:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	219	98¢	$214	0x840719…
10-20 09:51:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x0792d0…
10-20 09:34:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x89e081…
10-20 09:28:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x5524f6…
10-20 09:12:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xc9afde…
10-20 09:11:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x921150…
10-20 09:08:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x29727e…
10-20 09:08:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x14b5c4…
10-20 08:06:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	101	98¢	$99	0x9ff3fa…
10-20 08:06:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x21bd5c…
10-20 08:04:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xcd8355…
10-20 07:52:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$40	0x21f4e4…
10-20 07:50:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0xc2ef17…
10-20 07:50:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0xaee268…
10-20 07:50:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0x273361…
10-20 07:50:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0x804313…
10-20 07:40:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	3,000	96¢	$2,871	0x6f3146…
10-20 07:36:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	3,270	98¢	$3,201	0x3c440a…
09-10 03:28:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	97¢	$1,938	0xbaba76…
09-09 10:08:31	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x6aa909…
09-06 08:57:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	96¢	$1,926	0x7e1e39…
09-05 13:24:19	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	157	93¢	$146	0x5e2ee1…
09-05 09:46:28	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd1ffde…
09-05 03:17:46	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x372645…
09-04 23:44:55	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x75ab03…
09-04 23:38:45	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x85e6c8…
09-04 23:38:45	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x640587…
09-04 23:38:45	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4b34f9…
09-04 23:38:43	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x826e07…
09-04 23:38:43	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x2bcc41…
09-04 23:38:43	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x21a59c…
09-04 20:17:07	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x67f069…
09-04 13:31:16	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x2f168f…
09-04 09:55:42	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x361712…
09-04 08:48:27	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xdd75f7…
09-04 08:12:33	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x3de8da…
09-04 07:55:07	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x4052f9…
09-04 07:50:39	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xf6a2c2…
09-04 04:17:06	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	373	93¢	$347	0x33ac7a…
09-04 04:12:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	96¢	$1,924	0xa97b72…
08-07 01:33:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	96¢	$1,926	0x5b3d5b…
07-25 18:30:54	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xa2070b…
07-25 17:03:19	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3363db…
07-25 09:43:28	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x5d9c37…
07-25 03:46:00	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	175	92¢	$161	0x8a94af…
07-25 03:09:15	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x30ef3e…
07-25 03:09:12	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x268339…
07-25 03:09:07	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc051c4…
07-25 03:09:06	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa37202…
07-25 03:09:04	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe7475e…
07-24 23:50:21	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1af14d…
07-24 06:57:10	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbeec4b…
07-24 06:57:06	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6feedd…
07-24 06:57:03	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5869ab…
07-24 06:56:57	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x689882…
07-24 06:56:55	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x52f2ea…
07-24 03:34:57	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x1e9df6…
07-24 02:44:46	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb8d518…
07-23 14:15:13	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x427ba6…
07-23 11:41:46	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x30a22c…
07-23 09:27:48	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	44	92¢	$41	0x5b7bcf…
07-22 11:01:12	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x90ccb1…
07-22 08:34:21	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x91e85c…
07-22 08:34:18	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x79ec0e…
07-22 08:34:16	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x92a415…
07-22 08:34:16	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x661784…
07-22 08:34:15	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8fa291…
07-22 08:10:39	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x6d29a9…
07-22 08:10:10	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0xa78832…
07-22 06:20:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	2,200	94¢	$2,068	0xd68374…
07-22 03:03:15	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	428	92¢	$393	0x439535…