Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$3.50K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
95
lifetime
Volume
$20.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$215
Open exposure
$6.09K
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 07-01 14:22
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
51%
Politics
49%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +36,977 $3,316 $2.5K $-783 07-01 14:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +60,120 $4,000 $2.3K $-1,745 05-31 20:10
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +6,156 $1,000 12¢ $708 $-292 05-31 20:11
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +17,408 $900 $322 $-578 05-31 20:20
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +2,902 $377 10¢ $276 $-102 05-31 12:39