Realized P&L
-$451
Unrealized P&L
+$145
Hit rate
56.6%
Resolved
39
Trades
1,517
lifetime
Volume
$81.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$66.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 16:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
52% 50% -$7
Politics
32% — —
Sports
15% 59% -$444
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +10,989 $10,491 98¢ $10.8K +$272 09-07 20:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +11,109 $10,681 97¢ $10.7K +$68 11-03 17:21
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6,340 $6,212 98¢ $6.2K -$2 11-02 10:18
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +6,180 $6,011 96¢ $6.0K -$57 11-02 12:17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,531 $5,422 98¢ $5.4K +$2 10-30 07:08
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +3,833 $3,585 95¢ $3.6K +$60 11-03 04:24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,724 $3,122 85¢ $3.2K +$33 10-30 21:17
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +2,811 $2,654 99¢ $2.8K +$141 09-08 02:01
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,037 $2,680 88¢ $2.7K -$12 09-03 03:01
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2,023 $1,977 96¢ $1.9K -$38 09-04 14:05
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,802 $1,776 99¢ $1.8K +$3 08-20 04:54
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,784 $1,731 98¢ $1.8K +$24 08-28 06:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,682 $1,564 96¢ $1.6K +$42 09-05 13:14
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,603 $1,482 97¢ $1.6K +$80 08-28 05:55
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,207 $1,133 96¢ $1.2K +$26 09-04 08:43
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +917 $670 70¢ $638 -$32 10-30 05:55
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +608 $565 94¢ $574 +$9 10-22 09:18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,724 $617 15¢ $568 -$49 10-30 05:31
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +601 $546 88¢ $525 -$21 08-24 05:44
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +476 $459 96¢ $459 +$0 11-03 14:09
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3,037 $391 12¢ $369 -$22 09-09 08:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +11,140 $440 3¢ $362 -$78 11-03 13:04
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +917 $284 30¢ $280 -$5 10-29 23:25
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +249 $244 98¢ $244 +$0 10-21 15:54
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +6,188 $175 4¢ $226 +$51 11-03 11:13
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +10,989 $505 2¢ $225 -$279 09-08 10:45
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,736 $244 5¢ $183 -$61 11-03 16:24
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +179 $138 78¢ $139 +$2 10-31 21:32
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +6,135 $136 2¢ $126 -$11 11-03 02:20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,531 $111 2¢ $108 -$3 10-30 20:47