Realized P&L (7d)
+$22
Unrealized P&L
-$75
Hit rate
97.6%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
14
862 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$149
$4.42K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$175
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-05 13:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
81% 41% -$230
Politics
16% 31% +$51
Sports
3% 37% -$20
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +165 $65 38¢ $62 -$3 11-05 07:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +165 $43 12¢ $21 -$22 11-05 07:33
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655 Yes +59 $15 24¢ $15 $0 11-05 06:30
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +465 $29 3¢ $12 -$17 08-13 08:37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +50 $20 23¢ $11 -$9 10-29 05:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +437 $18 2¢ $8 -$10 07-31 10:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +13 $5 56¢ $7 +$2 10-01 14:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +21 $7 29¢ $6 -$1 10-25 08:21
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +26 $4 18¢ $5 +$0 11-05 06:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? No +10 $5 48¢ $5 $0 11-05 07:32
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +38 $5 12¢ $5 $0 11-05 06:21
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +55 $7 8¢ $5 -$2 08-13 08:36
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +292 $8 1¢ $4 -$4 07-21 05:40
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +16 $4 11¢ $2 -$2 07-31 09:06
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +18 $2 8¢ $2 $0 11-05 06:29
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +11 $4 13¢ $1 -$3 07-31 09:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 09-10 10:18
Will Portugal win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? Yes — +9 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 10-03 12:25
Iran leadership change by November 30? Yes +26 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 11-05 06:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 4¢ $1 $0 09-10 10:18
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 Yes +5 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-31 10:57
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +3 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 07-21 05:42
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +7 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 07-31 09:07