Realized P&L
-$2.97K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.14K
Hit rate
56.5%
Resolved
437
Trades
2,660
lifetime
Volume
$100.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$2.29K
20 positions
First seen
2026-07-10
last 10-30 15:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Other
50% 35% -$1,858
Crypto
39% 46% -$2,958
Sports
5% 50% +$1,347
Tech
4% 57% +$597
Politics
2% 27% -$96
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +12,533 $1,472 10¢ $1.2K -$281 10-30 03:40
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +200 $166 99¢ $198 +$32 10-27 15:27
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +360 $133 55¢ $196 +$63 10-25 13:54
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +500 $265 34¢ $170 -$95 10-27 16:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +556 $100 18¢ $100 +$0 08-18 02:00
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes +427 $151 22¢ $96 -$56 09-05 14:53
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +200 $100 35¢ $70 -$30 10-01 04:05
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +322 $555 18¢ $58 -$497 10-30 15:36
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 Yes +200 $60 22¢ $43 -$17 08-19 11:51
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +400 $56 10¢ $39 -$17 07-23 20:03
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $42 36¢ $36 -$6 08-16 16:43
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +624 $131 6¢ $36 -$95 09-08 16:46
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +160 $27 10¢ $15 -$12 09-16 00:39
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $31 12¢ $12 -$19 08-18 05:11
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +400 $56 3¢ $11 -$45 08-28 00:53
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +318 $50 3¢ $10 -$40 09-15 17:37
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -10 -$9 95¢ $-10 $0 07-15 11:36
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +200 $26 1¢ $2 -$24 07-30 10:01
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -10 -$1 5¢ $-0 +$0 07-10 06:57
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder? Yes +3 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 09-01 03:31