Realized P&L
+$20.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.90K
Hit rate
88.5%
Resolved
210
Trades
1,701
lifetime
Volume
$1.17M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$688
Open exposure
$85.5K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 03:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Other
78% 69% +$13,745
Sports
21% 47% +$7,444
Politics
0% 50% -$442
Crypto
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +37,810 $35,324 96¢ $36.4K +$1,031 09-08 08:56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +25,477 $23,414 98¢ $25.0K +$1,566 10-19 04:00
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +10,879 $9,945 97¢ $10.6K +$657 09-22 08:35
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +10,799 $9,039 90¢ $9.7K +$626 07-31 06:35
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +2,600 $2,384 96¢ $2.5K +$124 09-07 00:40
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +800 $728 96¢ $769 +$41 08-26 02:28
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,005 $721 16¢ $496 -$225 08-06 03:17
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -1,542 -$106 2¢ $-30 +$76 05-15 02:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +20 $17 93¢ $19 +$2 10-12 02:09
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +30 $20 55¢ $17 -$3 10-10 09:26
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +14 $11 82¢ $11 +$0 10-10 09:26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 07-24 18:03
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +1 -$8 100¢ $1 +$9 07-09 02:14