Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$324

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-25 12:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

54% 57% -$25

Politics

31% 50% -$6

Sports

9% 83% +$20

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+115	$108	96¢	$110	+$2	08-13 08:55
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	+73	$70	94¢	$69	-$1	10-25 12:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+63	$60	94¢	$60	$0	10-25 12:46
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+52	$35	66¢	$35	$0	10-25 12:40
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Yes	+30	$26	86¢	$26	$0	10-13 10:18
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+32	$20	64¢	$20	+$0	10-25 12:41
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+62	$10	8¢	$5	-$5	08-30 10:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	4	$448	250	250	+0	open	—	07-01 11:15
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	2	$401	203	203	+0	No	+$1	06-07 10:39
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	4	$304	176	176	+0	open	—	08-13 08:54
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$222	115	115	+0	open	—	10-13 10:12
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	2	$220	113	113	+0	open	—	09-21 13:38
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	2	$201	109	109	+0	open	—	08-30 10:15
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$170	173	0	+173	No	+$3	04-06 13:08
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	2	$141	74	74	+0	open	—	10-25 12:38
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$126	0	128	-128	No	-$2	05-11 12:11
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$120	61	61	+0	No	+$0	03-02 10:39
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$120	123	0	+123	Yes	+$3	06-07 10:45
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	2	$110	60	60	+0	open	—	08-13 08:54
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$108	115	0	+115	open	—	08-13 08:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$102	53	53	+0	No	+$2	06-07 10:39
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	2	$76	41	41	+0	open	—	09-21 13:38
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$76	88	88	+0	open	—	10-25 12:37
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$73	44	44	+0	open	—	10-13 10:12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	1	$70	73	0	+73	open	—	10-25 12:44
trump out as president by march 31	1	$70	72	0	+72	No	+$2	03-02 10:41
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$67	43	43	+0	open	—	08-13 08:53
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$61	61	61	+0	No	+$15	05-11 12:11
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	2	$60	33	33	+0	open	—	09-21 13:38
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	2	$60	32	32	+0	open	—	10-13 10:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$60	63	0	+63	open	—	10-25 12:46
NATO article 5 before 2027?	2	$60	32	32	+0	open	—	08-13 08:54
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$55	29	29	+0	Yes	+$1	05-11 12:11
world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	1	$50	51	0	+51	Messi	+$1	07-01 11:29
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$46	223	223	+0	No	-$4	07-01 11:16
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	2	$40	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	06-14 10:28
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	1	$35	52	0	+52	open	—	10-25 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 12:46:03	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xaaaecd…
10-25 12:44:21	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0xd98d29…
10-25 12:41:45	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xb89642…
10-25 12:40:06	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	52	67¢	$35	0x723a76…
10-25 12:38:56	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	74	96¢	$71	0xe28df4…
10-25 12:38:41	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	88	14¢	$12	0x625678…
10-25 12:38:20	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	18	63¢	$11	0x0d3269…
10-25 12:37:59	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	88	44¢	$39	0x529812…
10-13 10:18:29	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Yes	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x122638…
10-13 10:14:56	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x48f73d…
10-13 10:14:16	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	88	42¢	$37	0x6e3023…
10-13 10:13:49	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	74	95¢	$70	0xca2367…
10-13 10:13:19	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	24	63¢	$15	0x476a7a…
10-13 10:13:04	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	No	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0x2870c5…
10-13 10:12:53	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	79¢	$35	0x14d1b2…
10-13 10:12:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	115	98¢	$112	0x519451…
09-21 13:45:02	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xdf47bb…
09-21 13:44:03	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x8565c8…
09-21 13:41:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	115	96¢	$110	0x796aec…
09-21 13:41:30	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x3de2ab…
09-21 13:39:33	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x68cad6…
09-21 13:38:57	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	86¢	$38	0xf1ec33…
09-21 13:38:35	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	No	SELL	41	92¢	$38	0xfa1e93…
09-21 13:38:17	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	33	92¢	$30	0x5beab2…
09-21 13:38:06	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	113	97¢	$110	0x62ef05…
08-30 10:23:24	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	No	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0x2f01b2…
08-30 10:21:30	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0xee39b0…
08-30 10:21:16	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x67f14a…
08-30 10:18:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x2e1bcc…
08-30 10:17:00	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x1c0318…
08-30 10:15:46	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	109	93¢	$101	0x5de279…
08-13 08:59:54	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	113	97¢	$110	0x125e21…
08-13 08:57:22	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x72d5d0…
08-13 08:55:55	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	115	94¢	$108	0x7c20c1…
08-13 08:54:27	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	115	88¢	$101	0x621965…
08-13 08:54:13	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	60	92¢	$55	0x32fa3f…
08-13 08:54:04	NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	SELL	32	93¢	$30	0x436ee4…
08-13 08:53:52	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	76¢	$32	0xbebb79…
07-21 13:12:48	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x6b62a9…
07-21 13:12:01	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0xcc9306…
07-01 11:29:44	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xae2e57…
07-01 11:28:04	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x6d66c2…
07-01 11:27:35	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbb00f0…
07-01 11:25:32	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd250c8…
07-01 11:25:25	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x581612…
07-01 11:25:14	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x5ed964…
07-01 11:24:26	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0x2679bc…
07-01 11:23:28	NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x43b9d1…
07-01 11:21:40	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0f88de…
07-01 11:19:43	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xb3b883…
07-01 11:18:26	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x9c6024…
07-01 11:17:02	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc1f7f4…
07-01 11:16:22	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	223	9¢	$21	0xe7e751…
07-01 11:16:04	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0xbd0976…
07-01 11:15:50	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	61	86¢	$52	0x59079a…
07-01 11:15:43	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	87	86¢	$74	0x9ce79f…
06-27 10:56:34	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x8fdd03…
06-27 10:56:04	Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x9992d8…
06-27 10:55:50	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x1429c8…
06-27 10:53:47	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	87	89¢	$77	0xeb55a2…
06-15 12:13:12	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xecba0e…
06-15 12:12:10	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa8a3ec…
06-15 12:11:15	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x815d1f…
06-15 12:10:54	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x4259b0…
06-15 12:10:09	Spread: Spain (-2.5)	Spain	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x092a33…
06-15 12:08:43	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0xeb4eb3…
06-14 10:33:15	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x99474f…
06-14 10:32:28	Spread: Germany (-3.5)	Germany	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfdb6a2…
06-14 10:31:03	Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xcfeba1…
06-14 10:30:49	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7bb9b4…
06-14 10:29:54	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xdb388e…
06-14 10:29:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	163	90¢	$147	0x3c0a7e…
06-14 10:28:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x499334…
06-07 10:46:00	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x323bd8…
06-07 10:45:18	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	123	98¢	$120	0xba57f2…
06-07 10:42:51	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x2dd5f9…
06-07 10:41:31	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	223	11¢	$25	0x9a55f5…
06-07 10:40:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	163	92¢	$150	0x5747b1…
06-07 10:39:33	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	203	99¢	$201	0x753240…
06-07 10:39:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xa415f1…
05-11 12:16:27	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x766f88…
05-11 12:15:03	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x3130aa…
05-11 12:14:06	Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xc0cff0…
05-11 12:13:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x5ef99f…
05-11 12:11:54	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	128	98¢	$126	0xdaefa1…
05-11 12:11:40	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0xb4aa45…
05-11 12:11:30	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	61	62¢	$38	0x4ef19b…
04-06 13:08:11	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf66114…
04-05 01:06:19	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x27489d…
04-05 01:05:15	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xec50c6…
04-05 01:04:41	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	61	38¢	$23	0x23fd2b…
03-02 10:41:53	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x9c6082…
03-02 10:39:49	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x2802bb…
03-02 10:39:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	37¢	$13	0x09588f…
03-02 10:39:03	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0xcf9479…
02-06 09:48:59	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xcd7fbf…
02-06 09:46:15	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x054b0d…
02-06 09:45:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x6063ab…
01-03 11:19:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0xfe7b07…