Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
341
lifetime
Volume
$1.98K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$870
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-09 20:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
54%
Politics
33% 0% $-4
Sports
9%
Crypto
4%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +460 $403 88¢ $407 +$4 07-05 08:04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -291 $-280 96¢ $-279 +$1 07-05 08:03
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +162 $86 50¢ $80 $-6 07-09 02:41
Trump out as President before 2027? No +74 $66 92¢ $68 +$2 07-04 04:07
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +20 $13 60¢ $12 $-0 07-09 02:39
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +13 $10 85¢ $11 +$1 06-23 02:27
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +20 $10 56¢ $11 +$1 06-23 02:28
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes +1 $1 53¢ $1 $-0 07-03 03:38