Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.70K

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$219.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.88K

Open exposure

$98.1K

9 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 09-23 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Politics

49% 45% +$3,287

Other

31% 40% +$738

Sports

20% 42% +$14,723

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	-25,000	-$19,859	84¢	$-20887	-$1,028	07-16 11:03
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	+15,788	$14,220	99¢	$15.6K	+$1,339	09-22 01:59
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+16,536	$14,127	86¢	$14.1K	+$11	09-23 14:52
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	-14,854	-$11,782	92¢	$-13666	-$1,884	05-31 17:17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+12,300	$11,439	98¢	$12.0K	+$597	08-18 19:02
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+11,851	$9,955	96¢	$11.4K	+$1,410	04-29 23:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+10,421	$8,441	96¢	$10.0K	+$1,548	04-29 22:58
andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264	No	+463	$338	92¢	$424	+$86	07-28 13:13
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	+0	$380	90¢	$0	-$380	08-19 14:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	55	$33.8K	19,007	19,007	+0	open	—	08-19 14:25
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$28.2K	10,146	25,000	-14,854	open	—	05-31 17:17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$19.9K	0	25,000	-25,000	open	—	07-16 11:03
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	8	$15.2K	16,288	500	+15,788	open	—	09-22 01:59
Iran leadership change by December 31?	2	$14.1K	16,536	0	+16,536	open	—	09-23 14:52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$11.4K	12,300	0	+12,300	open	—	08-18 19:02
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$10.0K	11,851	0	+11,851	open	—	04-29 23:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$8.4K	10,421	0	+10,421	open	—	04-29 22:58
Rockets vs. Lakers	1	$7.9K	19,821	0	+19,821	Rockets	+$11,892	04-29 23:01
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$5.9K	11,886	0	+11,886	Ciryl Gane	-$5,943	06-12 12:30
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$5.7K	7,729	7,729	+0	open	—	05-25 21:30
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$5.1K	2,742	2,742	+0	No	+$307	08-14 12:23
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	2	$4.6K	6,100	0	+6,100	Islam Makhachev	+$1,464	08-14 12:24
76ers vs. Celtics	1	$4.1K	21,722	0	+21,722	76ers	+$17,595	04-28 17:30
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$4.1K	12,500	0	+12,500	Thunder	-$4,110	05-20 19:04
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$4.1K	7,000	0	+7,000	Yes	+$2,940	03-22 23:12
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$4.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	Yes	+$7,002	02-01 18:42
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$3.9K	3,997	0	+3,997	No	+$128	02-23 14:08
Hawks vs. Knicks	1	$3.3K	4,800	0	+4,800	Knicks	+$1,488	04-28 17:31
ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	1	$3.2K	5,596	0	+5,596	Diego Lopes	+$2,350	06-12 12:29
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3.0K	17,513	0	+17,513	No	-$2,960	06-15 20:33
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$2.4K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$2,405	06-05 22:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$2.3K	2,800	0	+2,800	Yes	-$2,268	02-23 14:07
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	1	$2.2K	2,444	0	+2,444	No	-$2,236	05-25 21:31
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	1	$2.0K	5,500	0	+5,500	No	-$1,980	06-15 20:28
nba okc den 2026 02 01	8	$1.9K	6,000	0	+6,000	Thunder	-$1,920	02-01 18:44
ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	1	$1.9K	8,061	0	+8,061	Josh Hokit	-$1,854	06-12 12:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	1	$1.6K	4,908	0	+4,908	No	-$1,568	05-31 17:18
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.5K	4,724	0	+4,724	Yes	-$1,512	05-31 17:20
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16?	1	$1.1K	5,475	0	+5,475	Yes	+$4,342	09-16 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 14:52:24	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	7,169	86¢	$6,166	0x6765d8…
09-22 01:59:09	James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	SELL	234	98¢	$229	0x8dfebd…
09-16 14:59:20	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	5,475	21¢	$1,133	0x9e7ae8…
08-20 14:09:33	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	9,366	85¢	$7,961	0xfe54c7…
08-19 14:25:34	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	10,362	88¢	$9,118	0x2d47fb…
08-19 14:16:36	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x15fbf1…
08-19 03:09:55	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0xa5b31f…
08-18 23:54:06	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x3c7bb1…
08-18 22:43:33	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	61	88¢	$54	0x1849e0…
08-18 20:16:03	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x120955…
08-18 19:02:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	93¢	$3,720	0xa9bd00…
08-18 17:07:33	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	84	88¢	$74	0xcb6027…
08-18 13:26:48	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	3,409	88¢	$3,000	0xc7a7bc…
08-18 07:18:19	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	90	88¢	$79	0xcc0684…
08-18 06:32:51	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x93a664…
08-18 06:32:46	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x82c6f9…
08-18 06:32:43	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xcfd793…
08-18 06:32:42	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0xfbaedb…
08-18 06:32:42	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x7aa38d…
08-18 06:32:37	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x94e66c…
08-18 06:32:33	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe6dc9d…
08-18 06:32:27	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x683f39…
08-18 06:32:27	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x528e9d…
08-18 06:32:25	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0xe51271…
08-18 06:32:24	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	22	88¢	$19	0xa8a2fe…
08-18 06:32:24	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0x67af17…
08-18 06:32:07	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x8ab2c3…
08-18 06:31:57	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0xcbaae1…
08-18 06:31:57	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	28	88¢	$25	0x00bf43…
08-18 06:31:52	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf0fd12…
08-18 06:31:52	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x81e522…
08-18 06:31:51	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	87	88¢	$77	0xe2c073…
08-18 06:31:51	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	68	88¢	$60	0x8dea7c…
08-18 06:31:51	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	19	88¢	$16	0x5e3f72…
08-18 04:50:00	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x8fc190…
08-17 22:23:31	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x17dcca…
08-17 18:55:52	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	62	88¢	$55	0x77ed03…
08-17 16:19:51	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	45	88¢	$40	0x331472…
08-17 15:34:57	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x3de898…
08-17 15:26:04	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x0cacec…
08-17 15:25:10	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe6dbbc…
08-17 15:24:13	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x469afc…
08-17 12:06:43	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8,300	93¢	$7,719	0xb83b96…
08-17 08:08:10	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x46a3d7…
08-17 02:57:09	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xaa0d3e…
08-17 02:33:07	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	67	88¢	$59	0x8d1880…
08-16 20:42:52	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	568	88¢	$500	0x3bd659…
08-16 15:25:27	James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$54	0xd91a44…
08-16 05:02:06	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1,219	88¢	$1,072	0x12f672…
08-16 03:20:18	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xe533fa…
08-16 00:33:27	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xc76d96…
08-15 22:08:13	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x3ee8bf…
08-15 19:48:43	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xc36eeb…
08-15 14:10:30	James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$54	0xce2efc…
08-14 23:33:55	James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x5451a4…
08-14 23:33:37	James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x27afe4…
08-14 20:56:10	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xe63778…
08-14 12:24:07	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Islam Makhachev	BUY	3,600	76¢	$2,736	0x694f7a…
08-14 12:23:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	2,742	98¢	$2,692	0x59c01d…
08-14 12:20:55	James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0xeb546f…
08-14 12:20:04	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Islam Makhachev	BUY	2,500	76¢	$1,900	0x7f2657…
08-14 11:08:24	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x8885d2…
08-14 07:35:18	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x8394a0…
08-14 07:01:16	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	140	88¢	$123	0x31a575…
08-14 05:13:42	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0xc7a9a4…
08-14 01:18:09	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x71768a…
08-13 20:58:28	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	41	88¢	$36	0x65341c…
08-13 18:26:54	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1,667	88¢	$1,467	0x8ae485…
07-28 13:13:49	andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264	No	BUY	463	73¢	$338	0xf5a557…
07-22 10:43:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2,742	87¢	$2,385	0xb44189…
07-16 19:43:28	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	19,007	90¢	$17,107	0x2579a1…
07-16 11:03:46	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8,186	79¢	$6,492	0x4be63b…
07-16 11:03:46	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	16,814	80¢	$13,368	0x191c0e…
06-16 11:25:24	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8,251	11¢	$875	0x2e2037…
06-15 20:33:10	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17,513	17¢	$2,960	0x9f87a0…
06-15 20:28:15	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	5,500	36¢	$1,980	0x6cb298…
06-12 12:30:04	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	11,886	50¢	$5,943	0x8aa8c2…
06-12 12:29:40	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	5,596	58¢	$3,246	0xaa7d3a…
06-12 12:28:06	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	8,061	23¢	$1,854	0x5a1a76…
06-05 22:41:00	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5,000	48¢	$2,405	0x8fbd07…
05-31 17:22:53	Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,236	8¢	$419	0xd5abb3…
05-31 17:20:15	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,724	32¢	$1,512	0xc61f35…
05-31 17:18:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,908	32¢	$1,568	0xf80d0f…
05-31 17:17:01	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10,146	81¢	$8,218	0x9b722e…
05-27 11:48:11	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	25,000	80¢	$20,000	0x2fe790…
05-25 21:31:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	2,444	91¢	$2,236	0x34c90b…
05-25 21:30:34	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7,729	34¢	$2,651	0xf33f00…
05-20 19:04:58	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	1,500	32¢	$480	0x782308…
05-20 16:32:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	418	7¢	$29	0x68c194…
05-20 16:32:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	8,001	7¢	$560	0x54a562…
05-20 16:32:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	2,764	15¢	$415	0xcc3b8d…
05-20 16:32:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	700	27¢	$189	0x462225…
05-20 16:32:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0xd90a81…
05-20 16:31:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	215	39¢	$84	0x02209e…
05-20 11:50:23	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	11,000	33¢	$3,630	0x952cfd…
04-30 15:08:58	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7,729	39¢	$3,001	0xbb7903…
04-30 11:56:20	James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	BUY	5,005	91¢	$4,555	0x668f7c…
04-30 11:50:00	James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	BUY	11,283	90¢	$10,155	0xee24fd…
04-29 23:01:20	Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	BUY	19,821	40¢	$7,928	0xe786d0…
04-29 23:00:40	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	11,851	84¢	$9,955	0x587b09…