Realized P&L
-$483
Unrealized P&L
-$1.22K
Hit rate
61.4%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,921
lifetime
Volume
$187.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$23.6K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-19 21:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Sports
42% 25% $-483
Other
36%
Crypto
10%
Politics
7%
Tech
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +8,547 $6,870 88¢ $7.5K +$609 07-19 09:04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,150 92¢ $4.6K +$425 06-30 07:27
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -3,179 $-2,392 92¢ $-2925 $-533 06-29 00:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,685 $-1,160 56¢ $-2647 $-1,487 06-29 12:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +2,200 $2,039 96¢ $2.1K +$76 06-10 03:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,162 $-1,523 78¢ $-1697 $-175 07-15 00:12
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -1,058 $-752 79¢ $-836 $-83 07-11 14:02
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -910 $-628 82¢ $-742 $-114 06-14 16:28
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes -501 $-426 88¢ $-438 $-13 07-08 16:09
Will Aster dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? Yes -253 $-177 44¢ $-111 +$66 06-05 16:44
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -98 $-75 68¢ $-66 +$9 06-29 16:04