Realized P&L
-$10.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$851
Hit rate
54.7%
Resolved
221
Trades
2,806
lifetime
Volume
$274.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$45.3K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 23:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Other
50% 56% -$9,781
Sports
34% 58% -$2,164
Crypto
7% 85% +$521
Politics
5% 75% +$281
Tech
4% 60% +$552
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +19,227 $14,391 90¢ $17.2K +$2,818 10-15 07:56
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6,420 $5,343 98¢ $6.3K +$952 06-30 07:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,690 -$1,161 90¢ $-4198 -$3,037 06-29 12:48
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -4,243 -$3,189 97¢ $-4101 -$911 06-29 00:22
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +2,600 $2,301 96¢ $2.5K +$192 08-23 13:54
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -2,222 -$2,206 100¢ $-2219 -$13 05-27 21:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +2,200 $2,039 98¢ $2.2K +$118 06-10 03:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,162 -$1,523 96¢ $-2077 -$554 07-15 00:12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -1,800 -$1,201 64¢ $-1161 +$40 05-21 04:58
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -1,058 -$752 97¢ $-1025 -$273 07-11 14:02
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -910 -$628 97¢ $-879 -$251 06-14 16:28
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +10,659 $298 4¢ $453 +$155 10-02 02:20
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +420 $256 84¢ $351 +$94 09-27 19:49
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +319 $232 95¢ $302 +$70 05-08 03:34
Pistons vs. Knicks Pistons +500 $230 40¢ $198 -$32 10-26 05:17
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +300 $85 36¢ $110 +$24 10-23 11:05
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +2,000 $470 4¢ $79 -$391 08-20 08:45
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -1,600 -$176 2¢ $-28 +$148 07-28 07:31