Realized P&L
-$10.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$575
Hit rate
54.4%
Resolved
222
Trades
2,825
lifetime
Volume
$276.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$43.2K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 07:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Other
50% 56% -$9,781
Sports
35% 57% -$2,249
Crypto
7% 85% +$521
Politics
5% 75% +$281
Tech
4% 60% +$552
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +19,227 $14,391 90¢ $17.4K +$3,010 10-15 07:56
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6,420 $5,343 98¢ $6.3K +$962 06-30 07:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,690 -$1,161 90¢ $-4221 -$3,060 06-29 12:48
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -4,243 -$3,189 97¢ $-4103 -$914 06-29 00:22
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +2,600 $2,301 97¢ $2.5K +$217 08-23 13:54
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +2,200 $2,039 98¢ $2.2K +$116 06-10 03:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,162 -$1,523 96¢ $-2068 -$545 07-15 00:12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -1,800 -$1,201 64¢ $-1152 +$49 05-21 04:58
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -1,058 -$752 97¢ $-1024 -$272 07-11 14:02
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -910 -$628 97¢ $-879 -$251 06-14 16:28
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +10,659 $298 4¢ $464 +$165 10-02 02:20
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +420 $256 86¢ $359 +$103 09-27 19:49
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +319 $232 95¢ $302 +$70 05-08 03:34
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +300 $85 36¢ $110 +$24 10-23 11:05
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +2,000 $470 3¢ $64 -$406 08-20 08:45
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,141 $30 3¢ $30 +$1 10-27 20:41
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -1,600 -$176 1¢ $-20 +$156 07-28 07:31