Realized P&L
-$1.30M
Unrealized P&L
-$3.75K
Hit rate
56.8%
Resolved
2,544
Trades
61,125
lifetime
Volume
$17.1M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$280
Open exposure
$31.7K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-11 19:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Other
78% 46% -$1,112,861
Sports
21% 53% -$166,066
Crypto
0% 50% -$11,993
Politics
0% 50% -$4,531
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 1031 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +198,023 $29,211 10¢ $18.8K -$10,399 06-16 18:39
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -9,963 -$9,401 97¢ $-9690 -$288 06-25 20:42
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes -9,860 -$1,899 20¢ $-2021 -$123 07-16 06:36
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +11,979 $1,470 6¢ $779 -$691 06-24 09:51
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes -10,352 -$639 3¢ $-300 +$339 07-29 09:27
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +4,943 $3,371 2¢ $101 -$3,270 07-27 01:24
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +15 -$463 84¢ $13 +$475 07-04 17:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +20 -$323 26¢ $5 +$328 07-16 14:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 -$2,720 10¢ $2 +$2,722 06-24 13:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 -$1,886 6¢ $1 +$1,887 06-24 15:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 -$3,106 4¢ $1 +$3,107 06-26 11:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 -$1,702 3¢ $1 +$1,703 06-26 10:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 -$456 2¢ $0 +$456 07-08 17:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 07-08 17:47